Scott Minto: Newcastle look like a team heading for the Championship
Fulham and Brighton better bets to stay up
The fight to avoid the drop from the Premier League has reached a critical stage and Newcastle are the team I fear for most.
Quite simply, they look like a side heading for the Championship and where are the goals going to come from with the front three of Callum Wilson, Allan Saint-Maximin and Miguel Almiron injured?
Until those key players come back, Newcastle will have focus on avoiding defeat rather than trying to win. They will just have to do all they can to try to keep clean sheets and hope draws will be enough to keep them above the more progressive Fulham and Brighton.
There's only one person to blame for Newcastle's mess and it's not Steve Bruce, but owner Mike Ashley. He is using Bruce as a shield and I will have to disagree with the Toon Army for their constant condemnation of the boss.
I totally accept they deserve better, but that won't happen until Ashley sells the club.
Newcastle's relegation concerns have been heightened by one of their former players, as Scott Parker is doing amazingly well at Fulham.
I was slightly disappointed by them during the Championship regular season, but Scott is learning on the job and in the playoff final he pulled off a tactical masterpiece to nullify Brentford.
Any promotion must be considered a massive success and the way he has evolved this Fulham team is remarkable. Along with virtually everyone else, I had written them off as down earlier in the season and yet now you've got to fancy them to stay up.
They are solid at the back and are looking more free-flowing further forward, where they have gone from being overly reliant on Aleksandar Mitrovic to not relying on him at all.
It will be tight for Brighton but I expect Graham Potter's side to survive and it really annoys me at this stage of the season when pundits start trying to tell footballing sides to change their style for a relegation battle.
Of course results matter more than performances but how do you get better results? By producing better performances, and Potter does not need to change his style of play.
The way Potter plays is getting Brighton into the right positions - they just need to solve a different issue which is scoring goals.
Potter could end up like Roberto Martinez where he gets a big job despite relegation, although I would say Albion will do just enough to stay up.
And just enough will also do fine for Sean Dyche at Burnley.
As a footballer and fan I would much rather my team wanted possession, but I get what Dyche does well and every season he keeps Burnley up. It feels like a minor miracle given how little money he has to improve the squad each summer.
So if Burnley, Fulham and Brighton survive that means my three for the drop are Sheffield United, West Brom and Newcastle.
Scott Minto presents the Racing Post's weekly YouTube football show Different League in association with Betfred
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