Jaguares can sprint clear of poor-travelling Stormers
Lions may not shake off the Sharks easily in Durban
Sharks v Lions
Sky Sports Action/red button, 4.15pm Saturday
The Sharks look worth a wager to stay within four points of the visiting Lions in Durban.
The Kwazulu-Natal franchise effectively need to beat the back-to-back Super Rugby runners-up for a first time in six meetings to maintain hopes of sneaking into the knockout stages.
And they have won four and drawn one of their six outings at Kings Park this campaign with the one defeat, to the Bulls, coming in a deluge on their return from a long Australasian tour.
The Lions lead the South African Conference and have enjoyed two comfortable road wins at the Bulls and Waratahs this season but their their third away success, at the Stormers, was by three points and they have suffered four defeats at the Reds, Jaguares, Hurricanes and Highlanders.
With a healthy advantage over Jaguares in terms of claiming a home quarter-final, they are unlikely to be too stressed, in terms of set-piece, breakdown and defensive intensity, if they cannot blast away from their hosts. A losing bonus will probably be satisfactory as well if it comes with a safe return to the fray by key forwards Malcolm Marx and Warren Whiteley.
1pt 10-11 general
Jaguares v Stormers
Sky Sports Action, 6.40pm Saturday
Jaguares had a stinker of an international window in their guise as the Pumas losing all three Tests to Wales and Scotland but it would be no surprise to see them snap back to their excellent Super Rugby form at the first attempt against the Stormers in Buenos Aires. Take them to give up seven points to the visiting Capetonians.
Mario Ledesma has clearly got a tune out of his team, that now-exited Argentina boss Daniel Hourcade lost, with six straight wins before the break including four successes out of four on their Australasian tour.
They are going for the full set at home to South African outfits too, after back-to-back wins over the Bulls and Sharks in rounds 14 and 15 built on a round six success over the Lions. All three have been by a double-figure margin.
The Stormers are out of the running for the knockouts unless there is an amazing set of results over the final three weeks and have lost all seven away matches this term, four by a double-figure margin.
1pt 10-11 bet365
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