PartialLogo
Golf tips

Steve Palmer's AT&T Byron Nelson final-round preview, best bets, free golf tips

Sam Burns appears set for quickfire Valspar Championship follow-up triumph

Sam Burns plays from a greenside bunker
Sam Burns is looking to double his PGA Tour titles tallyCredit: Jared C. Tilton

Where to watch

Sky Sports Golf, 1pm Sunday

Best bets

Sam Burns to win the AT&T Byron Nelson
2pts 6-4 general

Ryan Palmer to win threeball
1pt 7-5 Betfair

Story so far

Sporadic thunderstorms are forecast for the final day of the AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, McKinney, Texas, and the players are scheduled off in early tee-times in a bid to complete a 72-hole tournament.

Sam Burns, K.H Lee and Charl Schwartzel are due out at 3.01pm UK and Ireland time in the final threeball. Burns leads Lee by one and Schwartzel by three - the pacesetter chasing back-to-back PGA Tour victories.

Burns won the Valspar Championship the week before last, returning to action in the Byron Nelson, reaching 20 under par through three rounds.

The ante-post 33-1 chance is 6-4 favourite with 18 holes to play. Three-time Major champion Jordan Spieth is tied for third place.

Leaderboard
-20 Sam Burns
-19 K.H Lee
-17 Charl Schwartzel, Matt Kuchar, Jordan Spieth, Alex Noren

Best prices
6-4 S Burns, 9-2 J Spieth, 5 K.H Lee, 11 C Schwartzel, M Kuchar, 14 A Noren, 35 bar

Final-round preview

A stop-start final round seems likely given the forecast, with soggy terrain and a breeze whipping across the course, so players deep on the board may struggle to conjure anything special to trouble the leaders.

Sam Burns carded a bogey-free third-round back-nine - seven pars and two birdies - and that solid effort coming home on Saturday may have laid the foundation for a second PGA Tour victory. The Valspar champion is full of confidence and seems set to ride the crest of the wave he created in Florida the week before last.

K.H Lee and Alex Noren have never won on the PGA Tour, while Matt Kuchar may lack the punch off the tee and the Sunday sparkle to overturn a three-shot deficit, so Jordan Spieth and Charl Schwartzel are arguably the biggest dangers to Burns.

Spieth eagled the 18th in round three to keep himself well in the hunt. The Dallas-based star will be disappointed further thunderstorms have arrived though, softening the track as well as the enthusiasm of the Texan galleries who cheer his every move.

Schwartzel should set up several birdie opportunities with his tee-to-green class, then it will be a case of whether his fragile putting can hold together. He has chipped poorly this week, too, so the South African needs some early confidence boosts on and around the greens if he is to overtake Burns.

An outright wager on Burns, along with a bet on Ryan Palmer to win the 2.06pm threeball, is the preferred tactic. Palmer is the Craig Ranch course-record holder and can boss Brandt Snedeker and Jhonattan Vegas in the final round.


Not got a bet365 account? Sign up today and get up to £100 in bet credits

Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

CLAIM OFFER HERE


MORE FREE BETS


Today's top sports betting stories

Follow us on Twitter @racingpostsport

Steve PalmerRacing Post Sport

Published on 16 May 2021inGolf tips

Last updated 08:42, 16 May 2021

iconCopy