Steve Palmer's Tenerife Open final-round preview, best bets, free golf tips

Where to watch

Sky Sports Golf, 12.30pm Sunday

Best bets

Garrick Higgo to win the Tenerife Open
2pts 12-1 Sporting Index

Dean Burmester to win threeball
2pts 11-8 BoyleSports

Story so far

Kalle Samooja covered the final eight holes of round three in four under par to claim a share of the lead through three rounds of the Tenerife Open. The Finn joined halfway pacesetter, Nicolai von Dellingshausen, at the top of the leaderboard.

Samooja, 60-1 ante-post, won on the Challenge Tour in 2018, and he has twice lost a playoff on the main circuit - in the 2019 European Masters and the 2020 Cyprus Open. The 33-year-old is a general 5-2 favourite with 18 holes to play at Golf Costa Adeje.

Von Dellingshausen, one over par for his final five holes of round three, won three times on the Pro Golf Tour in 2017. His best finish on the European Tour is 14th place in the 2020 Open de Portugal.

The 28-year-old German, 200-1 ante-post, is 9-2 going into Sunday.
Sandwiched between Samooja and Von Dellingshausen in the betting is Dean Burmester, who is a shot behind and a 4-1 chance. The South African's lone Tour success came in the 2017 Tshwane Open.

Leaderboard
-17 Nicolai von Dellingshausen, Kalle Samooja
-16 Dean Burmester
-15 Yikeun Chang, Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez, Adrian Meronk
-14 Sean Crocker, Garrick Higgo, John Catlin, Alfredo Garcia-Heredia

Best prices
5-2 K Samooja, 4 D Burmester, 9-2 N von Dellingshausen, 10 A Meronk, 12 G Higgo, 18 S Garcia Rodriguez, J Catlin, 22 S Crocker, 30 Y Chang, 70 bar

Final-round preview

Friends and family of Dean Burmester have apparently been trying to make the underachieving 31-year-old more upbeat on the golf course. The Bloemfontein-based bomber has a habit of getting edgy, angry and agitated when things go wrong at the business end of tournaments.

Well, perched alone in third place on a Tenerife Open leaderboard and surrounded by European Tour maidens is a position where Burmester is almost obliged to be upbeat. He is the only member of the top six with a Tour victory to his name.

Burmester, an enormous driver and streaky putter, has a great opportunity to deliver an overdue second Tour title and his first outside of South Africa. The five par-fives at Costa Adeje are at his mercy. He is the most appealing of the top six and 4-1 seems a more than fair price, particularly if he takes this supposedly improved attitude to the course.

At three times the odds, though, preference is for his compatriot, Garrick Higgo, who has put himself close enough to the lead to get the scent of back-to-back Canary Islands successes. Higgo could pip Burmester and the rest and follow Gran Canaria glory with a Tenerife triumph.

Aside from some tree trouble at the 15th hole in round two, which contributed to a triple-bogey, Higgo has been generally excellent in Tenerife. His 25-under-par blast in Gran Canaria was enough for a three-shot victory and he has been making birdies with ease in his last three tournaments.

A bogey-free three-under-par back-nine has left Higgo three shots off the lead and the increasingly confident 21-year-old will arrive at Costa Adeje on Sunday expecting to have a winning chance down the stretch.

Backing Higgo to win the tournament and Burmester to win the final threeball - 12.35pm UK and Ireland time against Samooja and Von Dellingshausen - may be the best course of punting action at this stage.

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