Steve Palmer's Bermuda Championship final-round preview, best bets, free tips

Where to watch

Sky Sports Golf, 4pm Sunday

Best bet

Russell Knox top European
1pt 7-4 Betfair, Power

Story so far

Doc Redman will take a one-shot lead into the final round of the Bermuda Championship, the PGA Tour maiden carding a Saturday 67 to hit the front.

Redman has dropped only three shots over the last 36 holes, a tremendous achievement with strong winds blowing throughout his time on the course, and the ball-striking quality of the former US Amateur champion has been on display.

Keeping a clean scorecard has been the key to success at Port Royal, Southampton, this time, in contrast to the easier conditions of the inaugural edition last year, and ante-post 28-1 chance Redman has been doing a better job than anyone.

The 22-year-old Carolinian has become a general 5-2 favourite with 18 holes to play. Ante-post market leader, Will Zalatoris, is tied for 15th place, five shots behind, while defending champion Brendon Todd missed the cut.

Leaderboard
-10 Doc Redman
-9 Ryan Armour, Wyndham Clark, Kramer Hickok
-8 Matt Jones, Brian Gay, Ollie Schniederjans
-7 Adam Schenk, Doug Ghim, Kiradech Aphibarnrat
-6 David Hearn, Anirban Lahiri, Ryan Brehm, Peter Malnati
-5 Russell Knox, Stewart Cink, Will Zalatoris, Michael Gligic, Mark Anderson, Beau Hossler, Emiliano Grillo, Luke Donald, Roger Sloan

Best prices
5-2 D Redman, 6 W Clark, 8 K Hickok, R Armour, 12 M Jones, 14 O Schniederjans, 25 B Gay, A Schenk, 28 D Ghim, 33 K Aphibarnrat, P Malnati, 40 W Zalatoris, 50 bar

Final-round preview

A carrot is being dangled by bet365, who are offering a standout 40-1 about Will Zalatoris with each-way terms of a fifth the first four places. The Korn Ferry Tour star clearly has the ability to surge from 15th spot and five behind to end up much closer to the lead.

The best hope of Racing Post Sport followers, though, is obviously that pre-tournament 28-1 recommendation Doc Redman converts his one-shot advantage into a PGA Tour breakthrough. Redman has always looked good enough to succeed on the main circuit and a first win at the age of 22 could set up a wonderful career.

Redman first showed his PGA Tour mettle when Monday qualifying for the Rocket Mortgage Classic last year, before firing four solid rounds to finish runner-up to Nate Lashley. A tie for 20th on his Open Championship debut followed and by the middle of August this year Redman had penetrated the top 100 of the world rankings.

Third place in the Wyndham Championship in August, followed by third spot again in the Safeway Open in September showed Redman is getting closer to silverware, and his ever-crisp ball-striking has set up a golden winning opportunity in windswept Bermuda.

Veteran plodder Ryan Armour has won only once on the PGA Tour in a long, mediocre career, while Kramer Hickok, another who has built a livelihood from fairway-finding ability, looks like he could turn into the new Ryan Armour.

Wyndham Clark, blessed with plenty of talent but without any significant silverware on his mantelpiece, is difficult to trust if this gets tight down the stretch, while the pressure on Ollie Schniederjans to use this event to revive a faltering career is immense.

If Zalatoris finds he has left himself too much Sunday catching-up to do, and Schniederjans allows his mind to be impacted negatively by the rewards which would come from victory, then the biggest danger to Redman backers could be Matt Jones.

Strong breezes, which are set to again be a feature for Sunday, have never worried Jones, an Australian who bases himself in Arizona. He won the Houston Open in 2014, then became a two-time Australian Open champion when fending off Louis Oosthuizen in Sydney just before Christmas.

Having turned 40 this year, perhaps with fresh desire to squeeze more from his career, Jones has shown glimpses of his best post-lockdown. From two shots behind, he could be a factor, so perhaps the finishing order may be Redman, Jones, Schniederjans, Zalatoris, but that is obviously a tentative suggestion for a wide-open event.

The final threeball of Redman, Armour and Clark is scheduled on the tee at 2.20pm UK and Ireland time. Redman supporters looking for an extra interest should consider Russell Knox for top European. The Scot, who covered his final five holes of round three in three under par, has found some confidence.

Knox is one shot clear in the top European list. Padraig Harrington has enjoyed returning to the course where he once won the Grand Slam of Golf, but a final-round fade is entirely feasible given the injury problems the Irishman has had post-lockdown.

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