Goals on cards in Guangzhou with hosts four down
Shanghai SIPG's cushion will help their counter-attacks
AFC Champions League
quarter-final second leg, 1pm Tuesday
Guangzhou Evergrande have nothing to gain from being cautious in their AFC Champions League quarter-final second leg at home to Shanghai SIPG so a bet on four or more goals looks good value.
Luis Felipe Scolari’s Southern China Tigers will need to score at least four goals to take this tie into extra-time after losing the first leg 4-0 in Shanghai.
And while they were restrained in beating Kashima Antlers 1-0 in their round-of-16 home leg and drew 1-1 at home to their group-winners Kawasaki Frontale, they cut loose against section-strugglers Eastern, winning 7-0, and drew 2-2 with Suwon Samsung Bluewings at the Tianhe Stadium.
The first-leg goalfest does not appear a fluke either, judging by the teams’ three other meetings this season.
Guangzhou Evergrande, who have surged eight points clear of their visitors at the top of the Chinese Super League, won April’s home league meeting 3-2.
Shanghai SIPG took last month’s home Chinese FA Cup clash 2-1, while July’s home league battle was a 2-2 draw.
Shanghai SIPG are unlikely to be gung-ho but have the weapons to be clinical on the break and an away goal will ease any tension.
They won 3-2 in Nanjing in the round of 16 to beat Jiangsu Suning 5-3 on aggregate and while Fabio Capello’s charges are struggling in the Chinese Super League, they will have been pumped up to progress after scoring in Shanghai.
In the group stages, after two tight away encounters at FC Seoul and Urawa Red Diamonds, SIPG lost 3-2 at Western Sydney Wanderers once qualification was assured.
SIPG have scored in 15 of their last 16 away games in all competitions with the last six containing three or more goals.
Guangzhou Evergrande have not lost at the Tianhe Stadium in any competition for 29 months and have won 19 of 22 games this season including Friday’s league match with Changchun Yatai 3-1.
Brazilian trio Alan, Ricardo Goulart and Muriqui will likely lead their charge.
This season’s CSL and Chinese FA Cup meetings: Guangzhou Evergrande 3 Shanghai SIPG 2, Shanghai SIPG 2 Guangzhou Evergrande 2, Shanghai SIPG 2 Guangzhou Evergrande 1.
Over 3.5 goals
1pt 6-5 BetBright, Coral, 188Bet