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All-Ireland SFC semi-finals predictions, tips and odds: Take Tyrone to topple the Kingdom

Free tips, best bets and analysis for this weekend's All-Ireland football semi-finals

Peter Harte is a key cog in the Tyrone machine
Peter Harte: looks value at 80-1 in the Footballer of the Year marketCredit: ©INPHO/Ryan Byrne

Best bets

Kildare -4
4pts Evs general

Tyrone
2pts 23-10 Paddy Power

Tyrone -2
1pt 4-1 Paddy Power

Over 1.5 Tyrone goals
2pts 23-10 Paddy Power

Under 23.5 Kerry points
2pts 11-8 Boylesports

Donegal to score a goal in each half
1pt 100-30 Paddy Power

Tyrone to win All-Ireland
2pts 4-1 general


Peter Harte to be Footballer of the Year
1pt 80-1 Boylesports  

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GAA predictions

Kildare vs Limerick

RTE, 2.30pm Saturday

Kildare have been talked about as potential Tailteann Cup winners ever since their unlucky Leinster exit to Louth and they can lift some much needed silverware with an emphatic victory over surprise finalists Limerick. 

A dry, warm day will surely suit the Lilywhites better than Limerick given the stylish attackers they have in their side.

Kildare's semi-final success over Fermanagh was an eyesore but they did what had to be done and, now they have reached the decider, they ought to be able to express themselves a bit better. 

They managed to rack up 4-19 when beating Sligo earlier in the competition, as well as 0-36 against Leitrim and 3-19 in their rout of Tipperary, so there should be too much firepower in their full-forward line of Ryan Sinkey, Darragh Kirwan and Daniel Flynn to take care of Limerick.


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Kerry vs Tyrone

BBC/RTE, 6pm Saturday

Kerry strangled the Armagh kick-out, scoring 0-14 directly from Ethan Rafferty's restarts, and that is what dug the foundations for their devastating destruction of the All-Ireland champions in the quarter-final. But don't expect Tyrone to fall into the same trap. 

Tyrone manager Malachy O'Rourke is way too cute for that to happen and we can expect Niall Morgan to keep the three-quarter kick-outs into pockets to a minimum and instead utilise longer deliveries to Conn Kilpatrick and Brian Kennedy. 

Kerry had a point to prove in that last-eight encounter. They had been embarrassed by Meath and even ex-players within their own county were calling them out. They played like a team possessed, scoring 14 points in a row during a second half onslaught, but it is going to be hard for them to replicate that intensity. 

Tyrone have somehow arrived in the last four without playing particularly well. They haven't peaked yet. 

They lacked fluency for long periods against Dublin, but kept plugging away and ended up winning by seven points. That was some achievement given it looked sure to go right down to the wire with five minutes remaining. Tyrone are fit and have a bench that can relight fireworks in the dying embers of games. Eoin McElholm and Ruari Canavan came on and caused carnage against the Dubs, scoring three points between them, and Conor Meyler is another with the potential to change a game. 

Tyrone's bench is better than Kerry's, especially if Paudie Clifford starts for the Kingdom, and that could be the key to this quarter-final. 

If Morgan goes long with his kick-outs and over the Kerry press, it could create goal chances for Tyrone so backing them to score two or more majors appeals. 

Tyrone shouldn't be the price they are to win in 70 minutes given they have already beaten Donegal and Dublin in the championship, and completely outplayed Armagh in the second half of their Ulster semi-final, too. They are coming in under the radar and are very dangerous. 

The outright All-Ireland odds seem lopsided with Kerry and Donegal fighting it out for favouritism. The  semi-finals don't look cut and dried and Tyrone have to be the value option at 4-1.

Another market that looks lopsided is the Footballer of the Year . It is completely dominated by Kerry and Donegal again and the shortest priced Tyrone player on the list is Darren McCurry at 20-1. 

The one who stands out like a sore thumb is Peter Harte at 80-1. He kicked two huge two-pointers in the win over Dublin and another tasty performance in a Tyrone victory would see him enter the running. 


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Donegal vs Meath

BBC/RTE, 4pm Sunday

If the betting is to be believed there won't be any more chapters written in the Meath fairytale of 2025. 

The Royals have already beaten Dublin, Kerry and Galway to reach the last four, but they are 7-2 with most firms to add Donegal to that list. 

This is a young Meath team who are playing with no fear and Dunshaughlin duo Ruari Kinsella and Matthew Costello, combined with the electric Jordan Morris, will make sure this is no cakewalk for Donegal. 

That said, Donegal might just be too streetwise when it comes down the stretch and they will probably have enough class and experience to get over the line. 

The handicap looks about right, as does the 70-minute match betting, but one bet that does appeal is for Donegal to score a goal in each half at a generous 100-30.


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Deputy Ireland editor

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