GAA: betting previews & free tips for Saturday's National Football League action
GAA expert David Jennings with unmissable advice as league action returns
Free GAA tips, best bets and analysis for Monaghan v Kerry & Dublin v Meath in the National Football League on Saturday.
Kerry -1 v Monaghan
3pts 8-11 Boylesports
Under 15.5 Monaghan points
2pts Evs Boylesports
Over 34.5 points in Dublin v Meath
3pts 5-6 Betfair, Paddy Power
Monaghan v Kerry 2pm
Kerry will take some stopping in the All-Ireland later in the year and they are 11-10 favourites with Boylesports to win Division 1 before that.
They sit second in the Division 1 table, just a point behind Galway, and have Donegal at home in their last group game. Everything points to a big 2020 for Kerry and they look terrific value at 8-11 to defy a one-point handicap away to Monaghan in Inniskeen.
Kerry manager Peter Keane has almost a full deck to pick from, with Jack Barry the only apparent casualty, and the quality of his attack is hugely impressive.
David Clifford looked better than ever in the club championship, while reports from the Kingdom suggest James O'Donoghue is back showing some of his old spark.
Dublin v Meath 7pm
Dublin have already played three home games at Croke Park and the average total points in those outings has been 38.3 points.
The exciting opener with Kerry finished 1-19 apiece (44 points), while their duel with Monaghan finished in a draw too, 1-15 each (36 points). Their sole success on home soil was a minimum margin victory over Donegal, 1-15 to 1-14 (35 points).
Kerry, Monaghan and Donegal all have tighter defences than Meath so the 34.5 total points spread set by Betfair and Paddy Power looks quite a few points too low.
It's hard to know what to expect from players following such a lengthy absence from inter-country football (last round was March 1), but the combination of the wide open spaces of Croke Park, managers not having much time to work on defensive systems, plus Dublin possessing an awesome attacking unit, could mean this is a higher scoring encounter than the layers expect.
Meath are without some key defenders and it is hard to envisage Andy McEntee deploying sweepers given it is the first game in a long time.
Had this been a Leinster final between, the total points spread would be substantially higher so the advice is to cash in on 35 points or more at 5-6.
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