2023-24 Premier League relegation odds, best bets and predictions: Toffees may finally fall after several near misses

When does the 2023-24 Premier League season start?

Friday, August 11

2023-24 Premier League relegation odds

1-3 Luton, 8-11 Sheffield United, 5-2 Bournemouth, 13-5 Nottingham Forest, 3 Burnley, Everton, 7-2 Wolves, Fulham, 7 Crystal Palace, 17-2 Brentford, 12 bar.

Best relegation bets for the 2023-24 Premier League season

Everton to be relegated
2pts 3-1 general

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Ian Wilkerson's 2023-24 Premier League relegation predictions

Last season was only the fourth occasion in 31 years that none of the teams who had been promoted the previous season were relegated straight back to the Championship.

It is a statistic that returnees Burnley and Sheffield United and new boys Luton will all be conscious of, but they won’t be the only ones.

Seeing Leicester, particularly, fall through the trap door will remind others that their top-flight status cannot be taken for granted.

Illustrious histories count for little and, while the Blades and Hatters especially find themselves with plenty to do, this could be the year that Everton finally slip away.

Such an occurrence would not come at a worse time for the Toffees as they are due to play their final season at Goodison Park before moving to a new stadium.

Their recent history has been characterised by boardroom turmoil and uninspiring recruitment, and the acquisitions of Ashley Young and Arnaut Danjuma by the start of August does not inspire confidence.

This is a team who scored just 16 goals at Goodison Park and netted more that once in only one of 19 home games last term.

Sean Dyche did enough to keep them in the top flight after taking over from Frank Lampard, but the Toffees still won just five of their final 18 games last season.

It is still hard to fathom how they won 5-1 at Brighton, but they scored just 34 goals all season and if they are unable to rely on injury-prone Dominic Calvert-Lewin, then who can they trust?

The Toffees stayed up with a paltry 36 points last term and there is little to suggest they have been transformed since.

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth are shorter in the relegation market than the Merseysiders, but there is more cause for optimism.

Forest made wholesale changes after coming up last season but the gamble paid off. They were strong at home and there seems a chance that they will be more settled this time, although their away form needs to improve as their only road win came at bottom-of-the-table Southampton.

Meanwhile, new manager Andoni Iraola looks a good fit at Bournemouth after performing well as the leader of underdogs at both Mirandes and Rayo Vallecano in Spain.

Their anticipated positive approach should be good to watch and could earn them enough points. It looks as if the remaining two relegation spots could be filled by Luton and Sheffield United, both of whom are odds-on to go straight back down to the second tier.

Despite finishing third, the Hatters had only the eighth-highest expected goals figure in the Championship, so they may not create enough chances to survive.

Kenilworth Road may be a culture shock for some but only one team in the top ten scored fewer goals than they did last season.

Sheffield United, meanwhile, will probably look at what Forest achieved last season and their Bramall Lane form is likely to be key.

It was rocking when they beat Tottenham in the FA Cup last season and if they can turn it into the fortress the City Ground became last term then they will have half a chance of survival, but other teams have more potential game-changers in their ranks.

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