Saturday's Premier League card and goalscorer predictions: Mings takes aim

Free football tips, player specials and analysis for Manchester United v Newcastle United, Watford v Wolverhampton and Chelsea v Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday.

Where to watch

Chelsea v Aston Villa, Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event, 5.30pm Saturday

Best bets

Jacob Murphy to be shown a card
1pt 8-1 William Hill

Francesco Trincao to score at anytime
1pt 16-5 Paddy Power, Betfair

Tyrone Mings to have a shot
1pt 6-4 Paddy Power, Betfair

Tyrone Mings to have a shot on target
1pt 6-1Paddy Power, Betfair

Previews

With the return of Cristiano Ronaldo adding to an already star studded Manchester United lineup, Newcastle could be in for a long afternoon defensively when the two sides meet.

Their 3-5-2 is more likely to resemble a five-man defence and at the prices Jacob Murphy looks interesting to pick up a card.

The wing-back has already been booked this season and with Jadon Sancho recovering from the knock he picked up with England, Murphy may be tasked with marking the Red Devils’ winger.

The 8-1 on offer is double that of any of the other likely members of Newcastle’s defence.

Wolves have been extremely unfortunate not to score this season, racking up 57 shots and a total of 4.3 xG according to fbref in their three games so far.

Despite Raul Jimenez and Adama Traore getting the attention, new signing Francisco Trincao leads the team in shots on target and opened his account in the EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

The Portuguese forward has been a livewire since his move from Barcelona and looks too big to be on the scoresheet here.

Even after the departure of Jack Grealish, Aston Villa remain comfortably the most fouled team in the Premier League this season, 11 clear of Norwich in second. The Villans added a new set-piece coach this summer and it looks like there will be a concerted effort for Dean Smith’s side to exploit them this season.

Despite their defensive success, Chelsea have conceded the joint-third highest xG from set pieces this season with 1.4.

With Matty Cash’s long throws and their high number of free kicks, Tyrone Mings will play a key role in the opponent’s box this season.

In his three starts for club and country this season, Mings has had two shots and 6-4 for him to have another in this game looks overpriced. The 6-1 available with the same firms for a Mings shot on target may also be of interest.

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