Saturday's Premier League card, shot and goalscorer predictions: Firmino to bag

Free special tips, best bets and analysis for Liverpool v Watford, Leeds v Southampton, Wolves v Aston Villa and Manchester United v Leicester in the Premier League on Saturday.

Where to watch

Liverpool v Watford
BT Sport 1, 12.30pm Saturday

Manchester United v Leicester
Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event, 5.30pm Saturday

Best bets

Roberto Firmino to score at any time
2pts 23-20 Coral, Ladbrokes

Leeds most booking points v Southampton
3pts 13-10 Hills

Daniel Podence to register an assist
1pt 5-1 Hills

11 or more shots on target in Manchester United v Leicester
1pt 11-8 Boyles

Betting preview

Jurgen Klopp will be glad to have all of his attacking options back from national duty in one piece after Mo Salah and Sadio Mane faced off over a gruelling 210 minutes of World Cup playoffs. To add to that Luis Diaz and Diogo Jota both turned out for their countries in two key games over the break.

A player who played no part in with his national team is Roberto Firmino, who rested up on Merseyside after not being selected by already-qualified Brazil. Liverpool face a daunting set of fixtures in the next month so Firmino is likely to feature prominently against Watford and is fancied to score at 23-20.

Leeds are on the brink of a historic season in one category alone, yellow cards. The Whites have picked up 90 already this campaign, 22 clear of Newcastle in second place, giving them a shot at breaking the single-season Premier League record of 94 with seven games to spare.

As a result it is a surprise to see them priced up as outsiders for most booking points against Southampton, who have picked up a measly 54 yellows by comparison.

Leeds have had the most booking points in all four of Jesse Marsch’s games in charge, including last time out when Wolves had Raul Jimenez sent off. The combative Kalvin Phillips is also due to return so the 13-10 for the Whites to have most booking points looks generous.

Aston Villa have had a persistent problem with the ball played in the channel between their centre-back and full-back this season and Daniel Podenece could be the perfect person to exploit it for Wolves.

Podence will be able to pick up pockets of space between the Villa centre halves and their high full-backs and could cut one back for his teammates to finish. The 5-1 for him to register an assist appeals.

In the late kick-off between Leicester and Manchester United there looks likely to be plenty of goalmouth action. Both teams rank in the top five for shots on target allowed and in the top eight for shots on target taken. The reverse fixture saw 17 shots on target and 11 or more is the fancy here at 11-8.

Not got a bet365 account? Bet £10 & get £50 in free bets

Open account offer. Minimum deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as bet credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Minimum odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude bet credits stake. Time limits/T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

CLAIM OFFER HERE

MORE FREE BETS

Sign up to emails from Racing Post Sport and get all the latest news and tips

Today's top sports betting stories

Follow us on Twitter @racingpostsport