Brighton v Tottenham predictions: Goals likely to flow at the Amex

Free football tips, best bets and analysis for Brighton v Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday.

Where to watch

Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event, 5.30pm Saturday

Best bet

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
1pt 6-5 bet365

Team news

Brighton
Enock Mwepu and Jakub Moder remain sidelined. Moses Caicedo is a doubt.

Tottenham
Emerson Royal is suspended. Dejan Kulusevski remains out injured.

Match preview

Roberto De Zerbi seemed happy enough to get involved in a free-for-all at Anfield on his arrival in the Premier League as Brighton manager and he can prove that was no flash in the pan by laying on more fun and games back at the Amex.

Tottenham are the visitors to the south coast for De Zerbi's home baptism, a top-six dust-up shaped by the top division's two Italian coaches and, ironically given that Serie A used to bore the pants off us, it ought to be a thriller.

The game isn't easy to call and arguments can be made for all three outcomes. But putting the result aside for a minute, back goals and a fair few of them.

Both teams to score is odds-on, and so is over 2.5 goals. The ever-popular both teams to score and over 2.5 goals combo is around 6-5 and that looks a decent price.

Brighton, whether by accident or design, were wide open in last weekend's 3-3 draw at Liverpool on De Zerbi's first assignment since replacing Graham Potter. Liverpool were gifted copious chances but Albion made a stack of their own as the new head coach simply picked up his predecessor's baton.

Danny Welbeck, 15-2 to open the scoring, still can't seem to get a agoal but he leads the line supremely and the goals are flowing from Alexis Mac Allister, Pascal Gross and Anfield hat-trick hero Leandro Trossard.

The Seagulls are playing with a swagger, merely carrying on where they left off last season, and are only slight outsiders on some books.

Their seat-of-the-pants defending will leave them exposed to sides who can fill holes left vacant and Tottenham can do that.

Granted, it's not been a great week for Spurs who did okay in the first half at Arsenal on Saturday before being swept away after the interval. They then went flat at Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League on Tuesday and questions over their away form persist.

Statistically their road form is reasonable – they have suffered just two defeats in their last 11, a run kick-started by a 2-0 win at Brighton in March. And Brighton have conceded seven in their last three matches so they are a long way from watertight.

Harry Kane is being utterly upstaged in the Golden Boot race yet he's still next best to Erling Haaland on a more than respectable seven and when he, Son and Richarlison (or Dejan Kulusevski) click, they are a massive threat. Going into this weekend only Manchester City and Arsenal have scored more goals.

But they also don't look overly secure at the back and Brighton will take them on. Odds of around 8-5 about a Champions League team winning away at a team who are ultimately mid-table opponents might be a bit on the generous side.

Key stat

Tottenham's league matches are averaging 6.3 goals a game

Inside info

Brighton

Penalty taker Alexis Mac Allister
Assist ace Pascal Gross/Danny Welbeck
Set-piece threat Lewis Dunk
Card magnet Alexis Mac Allister

Tottenham

Penalty taker Harry Kane
Assist ace Dejan Kulusevski/Ivan Perisic
Set-piece threat Harry Kane
Card magnet Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

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