Premier League final-day permutations

Aston Villa were 1-20 to be relegated a fortnight ago but they are on the verge of completing a great escape as Dean Smith's side prepare for Sunday's trip to West Ham.

There are freak goal-difference concerns - and after Swansea somehow overhauled Nottingham Forest in the Sky Bet Championship playoff race on Wednesday it shows anything is possible - but realistically Villa know a win at the London Stadium should be enough for them to stay up.

A point would be enough if Watford fail to beat Arsenal at the Emirates and even a loss may not be fatal should the Hornets also suffer defeat and Bournemouth fail to secure maximum points at Everton.

Villa, who have beaten Crystal Palace and Arsenal and drawn at Everton in the past two weeks, are 2-1 to go down with Watford 4-11.

Bournemouth need both of the teams above them to lose and then to claim victory at Goodison Park, which is why they are 12-1 to stay in the Premier League. It's only 1-25 that the Cherries go down.

Leicester, 1-25 to secure a top-four finish at the start of 2020, have suffered a miserable few months and head into the final round of fixtures knowing only a win over Manchester United at the King Power will guarantee them a spot in next season's Champions League.

A point would be enough if Chelsea lose at home to Wolves but City are 13-8 to claim a top-four spot. A point will do nicely for 1-7 Chelsea and United are 1-4 to finish in the first four.

It won't be any compensation for Jamie Vardy if Leicester fail to make the Champions League but he is 1-8 for the Golden Boot. Vardy is two clear of 12-1 shot Danny Ings of Southampton.

A Europa League place is also up for grabs. Wolves need to match Tottenham's result at Crystal Palace but Spurs are seen as favourites at 8-13 for a top-six finish with Nuno's side 5-4 shots.

Premier League final-day permutations

Top four

Manchester United will finish in the top four with a point at Leicester and Chelsea will be assured of a place should they avoid defeat at home to Wolves. If that is the case at Stamford Bridge then Leicester would need to win and if they do the Foxes would join the Blues in next season's Champions League.

If Chelsea lose a draw will be enough for Leicester and only an unprecedented goal difference swing would deny United even if they suffered a defeat.

Europa League

Sixth will be good enough for the Europa League and it will go down to seventh if Chelsea beat Arsenal in next week's FA Cup final.

Wolves need to match Tottenham's result at Crystal Palace to take sixth or Spurs will jump above them.

Relegation

A win for Aston Villa at West Ham would mean Watford would need to win by at least three goals at Arsenal. If Villa win by two Watford need to win by four, and so on as Villa have a better goal difference by one and also hold the advantage on goals scored.

Realistically, Watford need to better Villa's result to survive.

If both teams lose it could come down to the margin of defeat with Villa needing to suffer a loss of two goals more to sink below Watford. However, if both lose and Bournemouth win at Everton then it will be the Cherries who stay up.

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