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Football tips

Mark Langdon's free weekend football tips and accumulators

Antonio Conte plotting Juventus's downfall in Derby d'Italia

Inter Milan coach Antonio Conte
Inter Milan coach Antonio ConteCredit: Emilio Andreoli

Mark Langdon's free football tips, bets and analysis for this weekend's English and European games.

Best bets

Inter Milan draw no bet
1pt 13-15 RedZone

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Napoli
1pt 10-11 general

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Atletico Madrid
2pts 31-40 Betway

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Inter Milan v Juventus

Premier 2, 7.45pm Sunday

There are still a few more stories to be written before the creaking Giuseppe Meazza Stadium is knocked down and the San Siro could witness the fall of a giant when Juventus head to Milan to face Inter in the Derby d'Italia.

This is the biggest game in Serie A - and that was before former Turin talisman Antonio Conte moved to Milan in a bid to awaken Inter from their slumber.

Conte has done what he usually does and made an immediate impression - Inter are on a perfect 18 points after six Serie A matches.

Conte gained promotion in his first term at Siena and in his opening campaign with Juventus he led them to an invincible league season. At Chelsea he won the Premier League in year one and Inter look ready to challenge the Old Lady for the Scudetto.

Inter have the best defensive record in Europe's top leagues with only two goals conceded and they were desperately unlucky to go down 2-1 at Barcelona in the Champions League on Wednesday.

The performance, particularly in the first half, highlights just how much Conte has improved them as some heavy summer investment seemingly paying dividends.

Diego Godin helps their defence, Italian international midfielders Nicolo Barella and Stefano Sensi are a joy to watch and Conte showed how desperate he is to beat Juve by resting Romelu Lukaku from the midweek trip to Camp Nou.

Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez provide Inter with a strong attacking threat even in the absence of the suspended Alexis Sanchez and they promise to give Juve the going over which usually comes on every visit to San Siro.

Despite Juve's domestic dominance they have won only one of their last five away fixtures against Inter and this is the strongest Nerazzurri unit since Jose Mourinho's treble-winning era.

Juve have dropped points only in a 0-0 draw at Fiorentina, but one-goal victories over Parma, Verona and Brescia as well as a win courtesy of a freak own goal against Napoli suggest the Old Lady are struggling for rhythm under new manager Maurizio Sarri.

Cristiano Ronaldo has scored just four away goals in 2019 for Juventus and Inter should be clear favourites at home.

Torino v Napoli

Premier 2, 5pm Sunday

Before Serie A's main event there is the small matter of Napoli's trip to Turin and they can make the long journey north worthwhile by bagging maximum points.

The early prices for this one appeared all wrong with Napoli opening at odds-against - Carlo Ancelotti's side had been 5-6 for this fixture last season and won 3-1 - but even the revised odds appear fair.

Kalidou Koulibaly is suspended for Napoli and will be missed but Ancelotti has put much greater emphasis on squad rotation, hence a number of changes for Wednesday's 0-0 Champions League draw away to Genk.

Napoli managed to miss six big chances in Belgium and hit the woodwork three times, however, the return of top goalscorer Dries Mertens should see a change of fortune in front of goal.

Torino, overachieving according to offensive and defensive expected-goal metrics, have lost three of their last four Serie A matches and were knocked out of the Europa League by Wolves.

The hosts have lost their last four at home to Napoli by an aggregate 13-3 and it's difficult to see where the sudden change in head-to-head dynamic will come from.

Valladolid v Atletico Madrid

Premier 1, 3pm Sunday

It looks like the trickiest EFL weekend of the season and little stands out in the Premier League, so complete a European punting portfolio with a bet on Atletico Madrid away to Valladolid.

Atletico, typically for them, have kept five clean sheets in seven La Liga matches and there should be more than enough time to recover from Tuesday's trip to Lokomotiv Moscow which ended in a 2-0 success.

Diego Simeone has the ability to shuffle his pack should it be needed - Angel Correa, Thomas Lemar, Stefan Savic, Hector Herrera and Kieran Trippier were on the bench in Moscow - and Atletico have already triumphed in similar away games at Leganes and Mallorca without conceding.

Valladolid lost to all of the top four at home last season and the 1-1 draw away to Real Madrid, secured with a late equaliser, owed much to the issues with the Bernabeu big cheeses.

Atletico, with Jan Oblak in goal, are brilliant at nullifying the opposition and Joao Felix, Diego Costa or Alvaro Morata can take up the goalscoring responsibility for the worthy odds-on favourites.

Weekend accumulator

Fiorentina 4-7, Monchengladbach 11-20, Atletico Madrid 31-40, Napoli 17-20. A £1 accumulator returns £8 with Betway.

Thought for the week

Serge Gnabry's stunning four-goal demolition of Tottenham for Bayern Munich on Tuesday brought into focus his previously disappointing spell in north London which ended with him leaving Arsenal for a reported fee of around £5m to join Werder Bremen.

Arsene Wenger was desperate for him to stay and could clearly see his potential but Gnabry, frustrated by a lack of first-team opportunities at a time when the Emirates crowd were demanding the board spend money on proven stars, wanted out.

Much has been made of a poor loan spell at West Brom and Tony Pulis supposedly not spotting the potential of the winger, who found himself frozen out and behind the likes of Chris Brunt and James Morrison in the Albion side.

However, Pulis has not changed his style and is always going to prefer a certain type of player which makes you wonder why - if Wenger knew Gnabry was talented and wanted to keep the technically-gifted youngster - he would send him to the Hawthorns in the first place.

Don't blame this on Pulis, it's on Wenger, or whoever made a poor call over the loan club which has ultimately benefited Bayern.


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