Real Madrid vs Arsenal predictions, betting tips and odds: Los Blancos could give Gunners a scare

Where to watch Real Madrid vs Arsenal

You can watch Real Madrid vs Arsenal in the Champions League at 8pm on Wednesday, April 16, live on TNT Sports 1

Real Madrid vs Arsenal prediction & best bet

Real Madrid to win & both teams to score
1pt 21-10 Betfair

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Place a max £1 bet on the Over 0.5 Goals market in Real Madrid v Arsenal UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday, April 16th. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bets. Free bets are valid 7 days, only deposits with cards & Apple Pay are eligible. Excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal odds

Here are the latest odds ahead of Real Madrid vs Arsenal in the Champions League

Odds correct at time of publishing

Want more top football betting advice? Make sure you take a look at Racing Post Sport's tips for more of the latest picks from our experts.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal predictions

Real Madrid have a mountain to climb if they are to make it a successful Champions League defence following their 3-0 dismantling by Arsenal in the first leg of their quarter-final tie at the Emirates, but the Spanish giants can set up a nervy night for the Gunners at the Bernabeu.

Real claimed the Champions League crown for a record 15th time with last season’s 2-0 win over Borussia Dortmund, but they are 11-2 to just make the semi-final this time after their first-leg humiliation in London.

Two stunning Declan Rice free-kicks and a cool finish from Mikel Merino put Arsenal in the ascendancy, but Real will still believe despite last Tuesday’s below-par display.

Carlo Ancelotti's side were unable to match Arsenal’s energy and intensity in the opening exchange and a total of only three shots on target is a poor return for a side featuring world-class operators such as Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo.

The damage may have already been done but Real are unlikely to go out with a whimper. They have no choice but to go for broke and that could be the formula for plenty of drama.

The La Liga heavyweights have lost only one of their last 19 Champions League home games and in this season’s competition alone they have put five past visiting Borussia Dortmund and Salzburg, while also recording 3-1 victories over Manchester City and Stuttgart.

Real have scored three or more in 13 of their 23 home games this term and they should get more joy against the Gunners defence at the Bernabeu, especially as the visitors are missing centre-back chief Gabriel.

But, while victory shouldn’t prove beyond them, Real’s own problems lie defensively and their desperation for goals may ultimately come at a cost.

Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal and Ferland Mendy all miss out and that is a big blow for Real, whose only clean sheet in 13 Champions League appearances this season came in a 3-0 victory at Brest.

Bukayo Saka was a constant thorn in Real’s side in the opening leg and keeping out an Arsenal side who have won 5-1 at Sporting and 7-1 at PSV in two of their last three European trips looks a tall order.

Both teams have scored in Real Madrid’s last ten Champions League home matches and their only shutout in their last 12 games at the Bernabeu came in a 2-0 league win over Girona in February.

Arsenal should feel that a goal is all that they require to secure their place in the semi-final and, while it may not be plain sailing, Real’s last two home games offer plenty of encouragement. 

Los Blancos played out an end-to-end 4-4 draw with Real Sociedad after extra-time in the Copa Del Rey before suffering a 2-1 defeat to Valencia in La Liga, and their defensive deficiencies may ultimately halt any hopes of completing a dramatic turnaround.

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Place a max £1 bet on the Over 0.5 Goals market in Real Madrid v Arsenal UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday, April 16th. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bets. Free bets are valid 7 days, only deposits with cards & Apple Pay are eligible. Excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

Key stat

Arsenal’s last seven Champions League matches have gone over 2.5 goals.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal team news

Real Madrid
Eduardo Camavinga is suspended after being sent off in the closing stages of the first leg and that should lead to a recall for Aurelien Tchouameni, who was banned at the Emirates. Dani Ceballos can return but Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal and Ferland Mendy miss out.

Arsenal
Raheem Sterling is available again after suspension and Thomas Partey and Ben White should shake off knocks. However, Jorginho has been ruled out and joins Gabriel, Riccardo Calafiori, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus on the sidelines.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal predicted line-ups

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Alaba; Tchouameni, Modric; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius; Mbappe.
Subs: Ceballos, F Garcia, Diaz, Endrick, Vasquez, Guler, Vallejo

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Merino, Martinelli.
Subs: Sterling, White, Trossard, Tierney, Zinchenko, Nwaneri, Butler-Oyedeji.

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Place a max £1 bet on the Over 0.5 Goals market in Real Madrid v Arsenal UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday, April 16th. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bets. Free bets are valid 7 days, only deposits with cards & Apple Pay are eligible. Excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal Bet Builder player stats

Stats refer to league games only; does not include unavailable players

Real Madrid vs Arsenal bet builder predictions

Over 2.5 goals
Ten of Real Madrid's 13 Champions League matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals while there have been at least three goals in Arsenal's last seven fixtures in Europe.

Vinicius Junior to score or assist
The Brazilian winger has seven goals and two assists from just 11 Champions League appearances this season and he tends to deliver when Real need him most.

Jurrien Timber to be shown a card
Seven bookings in 29 Premier League appearances this term suggests that the Arsenal right-back could be in for a tough time against the pace of Vinicius and Mbappe.

Pays out at 8-1 with bet365

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