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Wednesday, 24 October, 2018

Folau can fizz for Australia in freezing Canberra

Argentina defence may not be able to hold out Hooper either

Australia ace Israel Folau takes on the New Zealand defence last month
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Rugby Championship
Sky Sports Action, 11am Saturday

Israel Folau was shut out by South Africa in Perth last week and has not scored a try against Argentina for six meetings. However, he still looks a value bet at 16-5 to score two or more tries when the Wallabies host the Pumas in Canberra.

The fizzing full-back crossed the whitewash eight times in Australia's first five Tests of the year, bagging braces against June's lesser lights Fiji, Scotland and Italy before dotting down in both Rugby Championship defeats by New Zealand.

He also scored in his first meeting with Argentina in Perth in September 2013 and followed up with a hat-trick in the October return in Rosario.

Argentina's defence has been dreadful this southern hemisphere season. They have conceded 35 points or more in each of their five defeats to England, South Africa and New Zealand and, even allowing for a step-down in standard of personnel used, leaked 29 points to Georgia in victory.

The Wallabies have scored 29 points or more in six of the teams' last seven meetings including their last two home games and their last two neutral-turf battles at Twickenham.

Home skipper Michael Hooper is also worth a wager to score a try at 11-4. Most of his 14 international five-pointers have come from being the focus of the Wallabies' short-range, rolling mauls and this option may be called more often with freezing temperatures forecast in the Australian capital. He will also want to win over the locals again after leaving the Brumbies for the Waratahs in 2013.

Australia are 12-point handicap favourites but such has been the inconsistency of their efforts over the two years since being World Cup runners-up that it would not totally surprise if the scoreline was tight like in five of their six meetings between 2012 and 2014.

Recommendations
I Folau to score two or more tries
1pt 16-5 Betfair, Paddy Power
M Hooper to score a try
1pt 11-4 BoyleSports


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The Wallabies have scored 29 points or more in six of the teams' last seven meetings including their last two home meetings
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