Swansea v Manchester City tips, betting preview & TV channel
FA Cup quarter-final
TV details: BT Sport 2, 5.20pm Saturday
Memories of last year’s shock loss to Wigan should ensure that Manchester City treat Swansea with the utmost respect in the last eight of the FA Cup and it’s hard to see past Pep Guardiola’s knockout kings.
City's quad-hunters have been goal-happy all season and ludicrously free-scoring in cup competitions with Rotherham, Burton and Schalke bearing the greatest scars.
City have hit four goals or more in six of their cup ties this season with a rapacious appetite for inflicting ever more grief on their victims long after ties have been put to bed.
With a two-week international break coming up, this match comes at the worst possible time for Swansea as Guardiola is sure to go strong with his selection, and the upshot ought to be a comfortable away win.
Over 3.5 goals is a fair price but if there are that many goals it means visiting City will probably have filled their boots so backing City to win and over 3.5 goals is preferred.
The Premier League leaders have been ruthless in this competition, putting seven past Rotherham, five past Burnley and winning 4-1 at Newport on one of the worst surfaces you’ll ever see. City kept grinding away, applying pressure and eventually the goals flowed.
Further along the Welsh coast at the Liberty Stadium conditions will be far more conducive to the away side, who will be allowed to dominate the ball and should carve out plenty of chances.
The Swans have had a disappointing first Sky Bet Championship campaign under Graham Potter who has needed time to impose his ethos on the dressing room.
Their form is mixed – their only win in their last five league games was at home to a Bolton side who were down to nine men when the Swans eventually broke through – but they are unbeaten in seven at home.
On Wednesday night they played pretty well at West Brom in a 3-0 loss but they have failed to score in both games since top scorer Oli McBurnie went down with an illness. The Scot has bagged ten goals in ten games in 2019 but it looks like it will be the bench at best for McBurnie as he struggles to shake off a virus.
Behind 18-goal McBurnie the next top scorer is Bersant Celina, the former Manchester City youngster, who has seven having blown a golden opportunity to make it eight with a dismal penalty blunder at the Hawthorns.
The 22-year-old Kosovo midfielder is one of six starters who will be 23 or under as Potter invests in youth.
The Swans are 25-1 shots and blessed with one or two eye-catchers, among them the pacy Daniel James. But they are going to be feeding off scraps and up against a City side who have just popped seven past Schalke in the Champions League, it’s hard to make a case for them.
City have had flat moments recently in narrow wins against Bournemouth and West Ham but those opponents are far superior to Swansea.
Manchester City & over 3.5 goals
1pt 6-5 Paddy Power
Top scorer Oli McBurnie (illness) is unlikely to start. Kyle Naughton (hamstring) is a doubt.
Benjamin Mendy, Fernandinho and Kevin De Bruyne are out. Nicolas Otamendi is available after a European ban. John Stones and Vincent Kompany are doubts.
City have scored 36 goals in eight cup ties since the turn of the year.
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