Turkey v Italy: Anytime goalscorer predictions and best cards bet
Frustration could lead to cards for Turkey
Free Euro 2020 football tips and best specials bets for Turkey v Italy in Group A on Friday.
Where to watch
BBC One, 8pm
Jorginho over 83.5 passes
1pt 6-5 bet365
Lorenzo Insigne to score at any time
1pt 9-4 betfred
Over 2.5 Turkey cards
2pt 6-5 bet365
There are always uncertainties in the opening matches of a major tournament, but one thing seems inevitable when Italy take on Turkey in the first game of Euro 2020 - the Italians will dominate possession.
It is 27 matches since a team had more of the ball than Italy, dating back to September 2018.
Roberto Mancini has implemented a possession-based philosophy since he took over the Azzurri reins and Chelsea midfielder Jorginho is key to his gameplan.
The defensive midfielder will look to dictate play from deep against a Turkey side who will be looking to absorb pressure and hit the Italians on the counter attack.
Expect the Chelsea man to spend plenty of time on the ball and take him to make 84 or more passes in the match at 6-5.
A player who may benefit from Italy’s intentions to boss possession is Lorenzo Insigne. The Napoli forward has had a fine season, notching 20 goals in 38 games in all competitions.
Insigne managed three goals in qualifying and picked up another in a 4-0 rout of Czech Republic in the Azzurri's final warm-up game for the Euros. He is one of the more experienced members of the Italy team now and the tricky winger is fancied to get his name on the scoresheet at 9-4.
Another consequence of Italy’s domination of the ball may well be Turkish frustration.
The Crescent Stars picked up an average of 2.5 cards per game in a Nations League group featuring Hungary, Russia and Serbia. If the game plays out as expected and Turkey command less possession than the Italians, they could succumb to committing plenty of fouls.
Dutch referee Danny Makkelie averaged over five cards per game in the Champions League this year and he could be kept busy here. Backing over 2.5 Turkey cards could be the way to go at 6-5 with bet365.
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