PartialLogo
Euro tips

Azzurri can show off their squad depth and extend winning run against Wales

Swiss can take advantage of disorganised Turkey

Impressive Italy should be celebrating a third straight win in Group A
Impressive Italy should be celebrating a third straight win in Group ACredit: Chris Ricco - UEFA

Best bets

Italy to win 2-0 v Wales
11-2 bet365

Switzerland to beat Turkey
8-11 bet365

Netherlands to win 3-1 v North Macedonia
11-1 bet365

Ukraine to beat Austria
5-2 Betfair, Betfred, Paddy Power

Italy have won their first two Group A matches impressively and the depth of their squad means Roberto Mancini could make three or four changes against Wales on Sunday and still have just as good a team.

It's unusual to see a team setting out to win a major tournament playing on the front foot, and obviously Italy have had only two games, but I expect them to extend their winning run against Wales.

Marco Verratti has missed the first two matches, which would have been a huge blow to previous incarnations of the Azzurri, but Manuel Locatelli has been so good that Verratti's absence hasn't really affected them.

Can Wales score a goal against this Italian defence? I'm interested to see how Italy deal with Aaron Ramsey, whose runs caused Turkey so many problems last time out.

Of course, Turkey defended very badly and there is no mystery about Ramsey for Italy as he plays for Juventus - whose former coach Andrea Pirlo loves him as a player, incidentally.

But if Kieffer Moore can keep the centre-backs occupied then Ramsey may be able to find space and that looks Wales's best chance of landing a blow. I'm going for a 2-0 Italy win, though.

Turkey had some excellent pre-tournament results against very good teams but they have been a huge disappointment for a side with in-form players and a coach as experienced as Senol Gunes.

I can't believe how disorganised they looked against Italy and Wales so I'm confident that Switzerland, who should have won their opener against the Welsh, can take three points in Baku.

Frank de Boer deserves some credit after two wins out of two for his Netherlands side in Group C but I'm still not sold on them defensively. They had the first game against Ukraine won, then chucked it away and had to win it again, and the fitness of Matthijs de Ligt is a big concern.

I'm expecting an entertaining contest when they host North Macedonia, who have to go for it as they could qualify with a win.

Most people didn't look past Goran Pandev on the North Macedonia teamsheet but they have other talented players and their performances have probably been better than their results. I can see the Dutch winning this one 3-1.

The draw is obviously a big runner in Ukraine versus Austria, as it would take both teams to four points, but I'm siding with Ukraine.

Their good players are playing well – Andriy Yarmolenko and Roman Yaremchuk are scoring goals and Ruslan Malinovskyi should become more influential.

Austria should be better than they have shown but coach Franco Foda clearly isn't sure how to get the best out of David Alaba and they just look a bit of a mess.

Belgium's achievements in Group B deserve more attention. They had to play Russia in St Petersburg and Denmark in Copenhagen, with all the emotion surrounding the Christian Eriksen situation, and to win both games in different ways is really impressive.

Roberto Martinez will want to get more minutes into Kevin De Bruyne, Eden Hazard and Axel Witsel against Finland as Belgium are rehabilitating these players on the fly.

They are busking it a bit defensively but Thibaut Courtois is one of the best goalkeepers in the tournament and they should beat Finland comfortably.

Belgium were all at sea in the first 30 minutes against Denmark and if Russia start like that in Copenhagen then they will lose Monday's game.

It's difficult to predict how the Danish players will continue to react to Eriksen's absence but they arguably played well enough in the first half to win against Belgium.

They have more talent than Russia, who are not getting enough out of Aleksandr Golovin or Artem Dzyuba. Golovin is playing a different position to the one in which he is successful for Monaco, which doesn't help their cause.

I'm sure neutrals would like to see Denmark win and give themselves a chance of qualifying and I expect them to take three points.


Not got a Paddy Power account? Sign up and get up to £50 in free sports bets

Place a single £10 Sportsbook bet and get money back as a free bet if it loses. There are x5 Free Bets available. Max refund per qualifying bet is £10. Only deposits made via Credit/Debit Card will be eligible for the promotion. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply 18+ begambleaware.org


Today's top sports betting stories

Follow us on Twitter @racingpostsport

Like us on Facebook RacingPostSport

Published on 19 June 2021inEuro tips

Last updated 13:03, 19 June 2021

iconCopy