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Championship relegation odds & predictions: Wayne Rooney in dropzone dogfight

Steve Davies analyses a thrilling final weekend of the EFL regular season

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney
1 of 1

It's the final weekend of action in the EFL and here is what is up for grabs throughout the divisions.

Championship

Champions: Norwich

Promoted: Watford

Playoffs: Brentford, Bournemouth, Swansea, Barnsley

Relegation: Three of Wycombe, Sheffield Wednesday, Rotherham or Derby

Did Wayne Rooney honestly think it would come to this? All those years of great exploits, world-class goals, records broken, legacy assured, and yet he found himself spending a Tuesday night in May praying for the sake of his job that Luton could keep a clean sheet against Rotherham in front of no fans at a freezing Kenilworth Road?

Anyway, his prayers were answered, which means if Derby can do what they haven't done in their last six matches and win a game, their Championship place is assured. If they lose again, they're down. The twist? Their opponents are Sheffield Wednesday, who also need the win.

Derby are 5-4 with Betfred to go down and the Owls 2-9 but Wednesday are in significantly better form.

Rotherham, 1-6 for the drop, have to win at Cardiff and hope that Derby don't win, while Wycombe need a miracle beyond biblical proportions.

League One

Champions: Hull

Promoted: Peterborough

Playoffs: Blackpool, Sunderland, Lincoln, plus either Portsmouth, Oxford or Charlton

Relegated: Bristol Rovers, Swindon, Northampton, Rochdale

There is just the playoff jigsaw still to be completed in League One on Sunday, though the magnitude of the stakes, especially for three clubs with such huge pre-season expectations, suggests 'just' might be the wrong word.

Anyway, the facts are these: If Portsmouth land odds of 8-15 at home to Accrington they are into the playoffs for a third successive season.

A draw or defeat would open the door for Oxford, who are 4-6 at home to a Burton Albion side who have shone since Christmas.

Should neither Pompey nor Oxford win, Charlton could nip in by beating champions Hull, who ex-Tigers boss and current Addicks chief Nigel Adkins will be praying have overdone their celebrations.

If Portsmouth lose and Oxford and Charlton both draw, it'll be 72 points all round and Oxford in the playoffs on goal difference.

Pompey are 2-5 to make the playoffs, Oxford 11-4 and it's 12-1 Charlton to sneak a top-six finish. 

League Two

Champions: Cheltenham or Cambridge

Promoted: Cheltenham, plus two of Cambridge, Bolton or Morecambe

Playoffs: One of Cambridge, Bolton or Morecambe, plus three of Newport, Tranmere, Forest Green, Exeter or Salford

Relegated: Grimsby, Southend

It's all to play for at the top end of League Two where an indication of quite how cluttered the permutations are is that Cambridge could be crowned champions or miss out on automatic promotion altogether.

Cambridge will be confident at home to relegated Grimsby – though the Mariners have gone down pluckily so Cambridge won't be to everyone's taste at 1-2. They would still need Cheltenham not to beat Harrogate, however, to pip Michael Duff's men.

Cheltenham are 2-5 for the title and Cambridge 5-2 with United 1-33 to go up automatically. Bolton are 4-11 for a top-three finish and Morecambe 7-4.

If Cambridge lose, however, suddenly a top-three place isn't even guaranteed with Bolton (at Crawley) and Morecambe (at home to Bradford) poised to pounce. One of those three will wind up in the playoffs alongside Newport and Tranmere, if they can avoid defeat against Essex under-performers Southend and Colchester respectively.

Forest Green, in seventh, look vulnerable at Oldham, where failure would give Exeter a shot. Rovers are 4-5 to secure a playoff spot, Exeter are 11-8 and Salford are 5-1.

Big-spending Salford need Forest Green and Exeter to fail to win and they need maximum points at home to Leyton Orient.


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Derby are 5-4 with Betfred to go down and the Owls 2-9 but Wednesday are in significantly better form
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