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Wednesday, 12 December, 2018

Catching Korhonen looks like an immense challenge

Flying Finn leaves the field in his wake

Matthias Schwab looks like the best bet on the twoballs card
1 of 1

Sky Sports Golf, 11am Sunday

Story so far
Mikko Korhonen has got one hand on the Shot Clock Masters trophy after pulling five shots clear of the field in round three at Diamond Country Club in Austria.

Korhonen, an ante-post 28-1 chance who finished second in the Lyoness Open at this course 12 months ago, carded a bogey-free 68 on a difficult day when most of the field struggled.

Only three players scored better than Korhonen in round three, and all of his leaderboard rivals found the rock-hard greens too demanding, meaning than the Finn is no bigger than 2-5 with 18 holes to play.

Korhonen has never won on the European Tour before, but his recent form has been excellent and his round three form was exceptional, so the 37-year-old appears set for a breakthrough.

-13 Mikko Korhonen
-8 Justin Walters
-7 Miguel Angel Jimenez, Jeppe Huldahl, Ashun Wu, Peter Hanson, Connor Syme, Austin Connelly, Adam Bland, David Horsey
-6 Matthias Schwab, Oscar Lengden, Raphael Jacquelin, Nick Cullen, Lee Slattery, Oscar Stark

Best prices
2-5 M Korhonen, 20 J Walters, M A Jimenez, 28 A Wu, 35 D Horsey, 50 M Schwab, A Connelly, 66 bar

Final-round advice
Mikko Korhonen had his ball on a string for most of round three, and putted confidently, so the chasing pack have got to hope that sleeping on a lead will suddenly turn the Finn into jelly.

The first victory is always the most difficult to achieve, but Korhonen appears to be at the top of his game on a course he loves, so this is a gilt-edged chance with a five-shot cushion.

Justin Walters, alone in second, is a maiden who has never been trustworthy under pressure, so Korhonen will not be fearing him, so any pressure to the leader is likely to come from deeper on the board.

Ashun Wu, Lyoness Open champion on this track in 2016, may have a strong final round in him, while David Horsey, second at Diamond CC last year, is another threat from the pack tied for third place, and local hero Matthias Schwab could easily bounce back from his disappointing Saturday 73.

Wu, Horsey and Schwab can make a move, but catching Korkonen looks like mission impossible, and high rollers will be sniffing around a more than fair 2-5 about the frontrunner.

Final-round twoball punters are pointed towards rising star Schwab, who had the stuffing knocked out of him by a double-bogey at the fifth hole in round three, but can be fancied to finish well, beating Oscar Lengden at 10am (UK and Ireland time) in the process.

The final pairing of Korhonen and Walters is due out at 11.15am.

Twoballs recommendation
M Schwab
2pts 8-11 bet365, Betfair, Power

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The first victory is always the most difficult to achieve, but Korhonen appears to be at the top of his game on a course he loves
E.W. Terms
Sky bet