down cross right results icon premium content video audio lifeNews icon-comment tick starFilled betSlip hot icon-liveCommentary refresh spinner
coral logo ladbrokes logo betway logo williamHill logo bet365 logo paddypower logo 888sport logo
TODAY'S OFFERS
TODAY'S BOOKMAKER OFFERS
Exclusive to new customers
  • View offer
    Bet £10 get £30 in free bets
    Claim here
    Open a betting account with Coral through our site and when you place your first bet on horse racing (£10 or more) they'll give you 3 x £10 free bets. 18+. UK+IRE New Customers Only. First bet at least £10 or £10 each-way, at fractional odds totalling 1/2 or greater. Free Bets credited as 3 x £10. Free bet valid for 4 days. Free bet will not be included in any winnings. T&Cs Apply
  • View offer
    Bet £5 get £20 in free bets
    Claim here
    Open an account with Ladbrokes using promo code 20FREE and place £5 of bets, you'll get £20 in free bets. 18+ New UK+Ire customers. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Min £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1-2 = 4 x £5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days on sports, stake not returned, restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
  • View offer
    Up to £100 in Bet Credits
    Claim here
    Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
  • View offer
    Up to £30 in free bets
    Claim here
    Join betway, opt in, deposit £10 or more and you will get a 100% matched amount, up to £30 as free bets to split however you like. T&Cs apply. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock free bet. Deposit by card or paypal only.
  • View offer
    £20 Risk free first bet
    Claim here
    Open an account with Paddy Power and place your first bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses they will refund your stake in cash, max refund for this offer is £20. Limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Only deposits using Cards or Paypal will qualify. T&Cs apply
  • View offer
    Bet £10 get £30 in free bets
    Claim here
    Open an account with William Hill using promo code C30, bet £10 and get £30 in free bets. Min £10 stake, win only, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 3 x £10, 30 day expiry, free bet/payment method/player/country restrictions apply. T&Cs apply
  • View offer
    Bet £10 get £40 in free bets
    Claim here
    Join 888sport using promo code RACING and when you bet £10, you'll get £30 in free bets PLUS £10 in free bets on any horse racing market. Min deposit £10. First bet minimum odds 1-2. Free bet credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expires after 7 days. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Deposit method and withdrawal restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
  • View offer
    £50 Risk free first bet
    Claim here
    Open an account with Paddy Power and place your first bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses they will refund your stake in cash, max refund for this offer is £50. Limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Only deposits using Cards or Paypal will qualify. T&Cs apply
  • View offer
    Bet £10 get £40 in free bets
    Claim here
    Open an account with Ladbrokes using promo code RP40 and place £10 in bets and you'll get £40 in free bets. 18+ New UK+Ire customers. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Min £10 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1-2 = 4 x £10 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days on sports, stake not returned, restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
  • View offer
    Bet £10 get £40 in free bets
    Claim here
    Open a betting account with Coral through our site and when you place your first bet on horse racing (£10 or more) they'll give you 4 x £10 free bets. 18+. UK+IRE New Customers Only. First bet at least £10 or £10 each-way, at fractional odds totalling 1/2 or greater. Free Bets credited as 4 x £10. Free bet valid for 4 days. Free bet will not be included in any winnings. T&Cs Apply
  • View offer
    Bet £10 get £30 in free bets
    Claim here
    Open an account with William Hill using promo code C30, bet £10 and get £30 in free bets. Min £10 stake, win only, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 3 x £10, 30 day expiry, free bet/payment method/player/country restrictions apply. T&Cs apply

Cards could be low in Chelsea's Toon clash

Wise words from the Soccer Boffin

Kevin Friend takes charge at Stamford Bridge
1 of 1

Chelsea v Newcastle
Sky Premier League, 12.30pm Saturday

Only two of the seven Premier League games at Stamford Bridge this season have featured fewer than four cards. Usually low make-ups occur more regularly. And there could be a small number of cards in the televised Saturday lunchtime kick-off between Chelsea and Newcastle.

Back under four Asian total cards with bet365 at decimal odds of 1.7 – fractional odds of 7-10. Each yellow will count as one and each red as two. If the total is lower than four the bet will win, if it is four stakes will be refunded and if it is higher than four the bet will lose.

What normally happens in this sort of contest? Generally speaking, the chance of a low card count rises as the difference in ability between teams expands.

The result-related markets for Stamford Bridge imply almost an 80 per cent chance of Chelsea scoring each goal that is scored. They are probably at least in the right ballpark – Chelsea, third in the table, are nearly always one of the best teams in the Premier League while Newcastle, 12th in the table, are settling in again after a season in the Sky Bet Championship.

In a typical Premier League game with comparable goals expectations fair decimal odds about under four Asian total cards would be little more than 1.4.

For this game they should be higher. Allowance ought to be made for the individual circumstances of a fixture – ways in which it might differ from others of the type.

This season at Stamford Bridge things have not always gone as well for Chelsea as they usually do, and consequently there have been high numbers of cards more frequently than usual. The Asian total cards make-up was five in a come-from-behind win against Watford and 11 on the opening Saturday in a loss to Burnley.

But sooner or later, in all likelihood, something closer to normal service will be resumed. In the ten seasons before this one Chelsea scored 73 per cent of all the goals in their Premier League home games and during that period fair decimal odds about under 4 Asian total cards in a randomly chosen fixture would have been 1.55.

Bet365’s opening odds were 1.85, which probably would have represented excellent value for money. On Thursday the odds were cut to 1.7. Although they now seem a much less clear-cut betting proposition they may still be bigger than they should be.

The referee at Stamford Bridge will be Kevin Friend, a good official with experience of more than 160 Premier League appointments over nine seasons. Hopefully he may not be required to reach for his pocket very often.

Recommendation
Under 4 Asian total cards in Chelsea v Newcastle
1pt 7-10 bet365

Thought for the day

Some things you only miss when they are not there. Like technique in football.

I watched two FA Cup first-round ties. They were painful experiences. The second round is this weekend. I will swerve it.

What I saw consisted mostly of this: a defender headed the ball clear as far as they could, then a player on the other team headed it back as hard as they could, and so on, and so on.

It was like a ferocious sort of head tennis in which the loser would be whoever could not keep the rally going.

Nobody seemed to consider the possibility of heading the ball down to a member of their team, who might then be able to pass it forward to another member of their team. Presumably that was because everybody realised that nobody would be able to do this.

I felt sorry for the ball. It must have hurt badly.

Brian Clough used to say that footballers should befriend the ball. These seemed to regard it as an enemy, which they thumped with all the force they could muster.

That is the best way to play if you cannot exercise any control over the ball. How much better football is, though, when players are able much of the time to make the ball do what they want.

I would not expect lower-level players to be able to manipulate a ball like Premier League players. It was terrible, though, to see how little control some of them have. Only ten of the 32 non-league teams in the first round have reached the second round. One of the teams I watched came from League One.


Today's top sports betting stories

Follow us on Twitter @racingpostsport

Like us on Facebook RacingPostSport

Sooner or later, in all likelihood, something closer to normal service will be resumed.
Bookmaker
Price
E.W. Terms
Sporting
BetVictor
Sky bet
Boylesport
RaceBets