Brilliant Bayern ready to show their class against Sevilla
Bavarian giants carry a serious scoring threat
Champions League quarter-final second leg
BT Sport 3, 7.45pm Wednesday
Jupp Heynckes tasted Champions League glory with Bayern Munich five years ago and the veteran coach will be aware that this quarter-final tie is not yet over despite the Bavarian giants holding a 2-1 first-leg lead over Sevilla.
Bayern did what Manchester United failed to do by scoring in Seville and that has put them in a commanding position, leaving the visitors needing at least two goals to qualify and Bayern are no bigger than 1-50 to make the semi-finals.
Sevilla have given a great account of themselves in the Champions League this year despite a mid-season managerial change which saw Vincenzo Montella take over from Eduardo Berizzo, but their journey is likely to end at the Allianz Arena against a streetwise team packed with experience at the sharp end of Europe’s biggest club competition.
Jerome Boateng, Javi Martinez, Arjen Robben, Thomas Muller and Franck Ribery are all survivors from the 2013 final and it will be a huge shock if they are unable to defend a lead against a commendable but limited Sevilla team who aren’t even close to La Liga’s top four.
Despite holding a lead, it’s likely that Bayern will continue to prioritise attack over defence and goals look almost certain.
In Robert Lewandowski they boast arguably the best out-and-out striker in Europe and they have been typically ruthless at the Allianz since the Bundesliga winter break.
They’ve scored an incredible 28 goals in seven home games in 2018, including back-to-back 6-0 victories in their most recent Allianz outings, and they won 4-1 at Augsburg on Saturday to seal another Bundesliga title with five games to spare.
Goals are unsurprisingly short in the market – over 3.5 goals has moved in from 13-8 into 10-11 over the last week – but Sevilla will have to go after the hosts at some stage and Robben and Ribery are still great counter-attacking footballers despite their advancing years.
They could run riot if the visitors push on. Sevilla leaked five goals when a similarly cavalier Real Madrid faced them in La Liga in December while Spartak Moscow took them apart in a surprise group-stage drubbing earlier in the season.
At the prices, getting on a bucketload of goals might not be the wisest move, though opposing that eventuality is probably not an option either.
Bayern should show their class, however, and are available at just 4-7 to win by at least two goals but a better value bet could be backing the German champions to get the job done in style by winning both halves.
Bayern Munich to win both halves
1pt 27-20 Coral, Ladbrokes
David Alaba and Arturo Vidal are both out for Bayern while Kingsley Coman and Manuel Neuer are long-term absentees.
Vincenzo Montella welcomes back Ever Banega from a suspension but Simon Kjaer is out while Joaquin Correa is a serious doubt.
Bayern Munich have scored 28 goals in their last seven home matches.
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