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Sunday, 18 November, 2018

Blacks Cats overpriced to win at Turf Moor

Verdicts on the six non-televised top-flight games

Sunderland striker Jermain Defoe
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Burnley v Sunderland

Sunderland played well enough in their 3-1 defeat at Manchester United and may get some reward at Burnley. Home results have been crucial to the Clarets, who have collected 19 of their 20 points at Turf Moor, but there is huge pressure on them to keep on winning in Lancashire. Improving Sunderland have triumphed in four of their last eight Premier League fixtures and look overpriced to win a tight match.

Recommendation
Sunderland
1pt 23-10 bet365, Betfred, Betway

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

Team news
Burnley 
Jeff Hendrick serves a one-game ban but Matt Lowton returns from suspension. Dean Marney picked up a minor injury on Monday and will be assessed.

Sunderland
Goalkeeper Jordan Pickford (knee) begins a spell on the sidelines but Javier Manquillo, Jack Rodwell and Steven Pienaar have returned to training. 

Key stat
Burnley have lost five of their last seven matches


Manchester United v Middlesbrough

There have been just 36 goals in Middlesbrough’s league games this season – the lowest in the division – but the trend could be bucked at Old Trafford as a high-scoring outcome looks likely. Manchester United are growing in confidence and their star man, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, has scored 11 goals in his last ten games. Middlesbrough have contained some good teams but may be focused on Monday’s match at home to Leicester.

Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
1pt 19-20 bet365, Betfair

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

Team news
Manchester United
Wayne Rooney (thigh) has been ruled out and Luke Shaw also remains sidelined.

Middlesbrough
Viktor Fischer (knee) misses out and Antonio Barragan is banned. 

Key stat
United have kept one clean sheet in their last five domestic home matches


 

Chelsea v Stoke 

The return of Diego Costa and N’Golo Kante should enhance Chelsea’s chances of registering a 13th successive league win. They coasted to a 3-0 success over Bournemouth without the banned Costa and Kante and are unlikely to fear a Stoke side thumped 4-1 at Liverpool. Stoke have gone four games without a victory and Mark Hughes may hold back a few players for Tuesday’s clash at home to
Watford.

Recomendation
Chelsea -1.5 on Asian handicap
1pt 7-8 bet365

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

Team news
Chelsea
Diego Costa and N’Golo Kante return from suspension but Pedro is banned. John Terry is back in training.

Stoke
Phil Bardsley (knee) could make the squad but Marko Arnautovic is banned and Marc Muniesa, Geoff Cameron (both knee) and Jack Butland (ankle) are out.  

Key stat
Stoke have lost all their four games against top-five teams by more than one goal


 

Southampton v West Brom 

Southampton have been unlucky with the schedule but can respond to the 4-1 home loss to Tottenham by beating West Brom. Playing three games in six days is a test but Claude Puel made six changes for the trip to Bournemouth and watched his team record a 3-1 victory. Southampton’s Europa League experience has prepared them well and they should be too strong for Albion, who have lost three of their last four.

Recommendation
Southampton
1pt 4-5 general

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

Team news
Southampton
Nathan Redmond is suspended and Charlie Austin, Jordy Clasie and Matt Targett remain sidelined.

Middlesbrough
Jonny Evans (thigh) is a doubt and Saido Berahino is still short of match fitness. 

Key stat
West Brom have won one of their last nine away fixtures


Leicester v West Ham

Leicester are getting dragged into a battle for survival and their predicament could worsen with a loss to West Ham. The Foxes need a win irrespective of how well they play. West Ham did just that in scraping 1-0 wins at home to Burnley and Hull and the confidence

returned during their 4-1 triumph at Swansea on Monday. The Hammers are on their best run of the season and should be backed to keep it going.

Recommendation
West Ham
1pt 11-4 general

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

Team news
Leicester
Robert Huth and Christian Fuchs have served one-game bans but Jamie Vardy is still suspended. Riyad Mahrez is pushing for a recall after being dropped on Monday.

West Ham
Pedro Obiang returns from a ban and Sam Byram, Reece Oxford, Manuel Lanzini and Simone Zaza are back in training. James Collins and Diafra Sakho are injured.

Key stat
Leicester have won one of their last nine league games


Swansea v Bournemouth

Swansea were struggling under Bob Bradley and the American’s departure may help them defeat Bournemouth. Alan Curtis did a good job as Swans caretaker-manager last season and may get a decent response from a squad who are better than their points tally indicates. Home games will be crucial to Swansea’s survival hopes and they have a good chance against the Cherries, who have lost six of their last nine.


Recommendation
Swansea
1pt 19-10 bet365, Betway, 188Bet

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

Team news
Swansea
Jefferson Montero (hamstring) faces a month on the sidelines but Neil Taylor (groin) could return.

Bournemouth
Marc Pugh (hamstring) and Lewis Cook are injured but Nathan Ake returns after being ineligible to play against Chelsea.

Key stat
Bournemouth have won one of their last 11 league away games

Improving Sunderland have triumphed in four of their last eight league fixtures
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