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Sunday, 21 October, 2018

Back Brisbane to roar past Western Sydney

Home advantage a plus for Aloisi

Brisbane's Jamie Maclaren (right)
1 of 1

A-League
BT Sport 1, 10.50am

It is the start of the A-League finals and if Brisbane Roar and Western Sydney Wanderers can serve up the sort of goalfest they did last season, the opener should be a cracker.

It took extra-time to separate the pair as they shared nine goals with Brisbane throwing away a three-goal lead as the Wanderers progressed 12 months ago.

Wanderers have not been a free-scoring outfit this season, having notched just 25 goals in 27 games but they head into the clash undefeated in their last six A-League outings, even though their interest in the Asian Champions League was ended by Seoul ten days ago.

The victors of this clash will play either Sydney or Melbourne Victory in the semi-finals and the Roar should fancy their chances.

They have won four of their last five matches, all on their own patch and in Jamie Maclaren they have the league's joint-top scorer with 19 goals.

It is perhaps Wanderers' lack of proficiency in front of goal that gives Brisbane the advantage, although home manager John Aloisi will have to shuffle the pack as he goes into battle without injured captain Matt Mackay, Jamie Hingert and Manuel Arana.

The Roar have suffered just two defeats in their last 20 home A-League encounters and they have scored more than one goal in 13 of those games.

Two wins in nine away matches does little to inspire confidence in the visitors and while both teams have scored in the last eight meetings, that market has been priced accordingly at 8-13. There is little temptation to get involved with over 2.5 goals at 4-5 either.

It could prove better to back the home side at 5-4, who finished six points ahead of their opponents in the regular season.

Recommendation
Brisbane Roar
1pt 5-4 general

Bet on this match at soccerbase.com

The Roar have suffered just two defeats in their last 20 home A-League encounters and they have scored more than one goal in 13 of those games
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