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Australian Open men's semi-final predictions and tennis betting tips

Stefanos Tsitsipas could make Daniil Medvedev toil in a semi-final thriller

Stefanos Tsitsipas faces Danii Medvedev in the Australian Open
1 of 1

Free tennis tips, best bets and analysis for day 12 of the Australian Open in Melbourne on Friday.

Where to watch

Eurosport 1, 8.30am Friday

Best bet

Stefanos Tsitsipas +1.5 sets v Daniil Medvedev
1pt Evs BoyleSports

Second men's semi-final preview

Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas's reward for his superb fightback from two sets down to dump Rafael Nadal out of the Australian Open is a semi-final clash with Daniil Medvedev - and it looks all to play for.

Medvedev has had the upper hand in their personal series, but that's not surprising considering the Russian is three years older than Tsitsipas. 

The fourth seed has won five of his six meetings with his 22-year-old Greek rival, but Tsitsipas, perhaps tellingly, managed to win sets against the more experienced Medvedev in their first two clashes on outdoor US hard courts in 2018.

Medvedev obviously merits favouritism, but it's perhaps right to expect Tsitsipas to pose more problems for the Muscovite this time around.

Tsitsipas's 3-6 2-6 7-6 6-4 7-5 victory over Nadal should provide the fifth seed with a huge confidence boost, too. Not many players beat Nadal at his own game so that quarter-final triumph merits huge respect.

Medvedev, meanwhile, was busy adding to his perfect record against friend and compatriot Andrey Rublev in the last eight. There were some long rallies and that played straight into the hands of the physically stronger Medvedev, who waltzed away with a 7-5 6-3 6-2 victory over the seventh seed.

Medvedev has dropped only two sets in the competition - both against Filip Krajinovic in round three - while Tsitsipas's five-set classic against Nadal was his second in the tournament after a second-round thriller against Thanasi Kokkinakis.

Medvedev will probably make the running in his role as favourite against Tsitsipas. But with past results suggesting the Russian is unlikely to post a quick win, Tsitsipas's pretty strong temperament may come into play should the sets go long and possibly be decided in tiebreaks.

Getting with Tsitsipas on the total-games handicap is an option, but that market is, by its very nature, riskier than total sets, so instead back the outsider with a start of 1.5 sets. That means he would need to win two sets against the Russian, a feat he has yet to achieve in an outdoor clash against Medvedev, but he is more progressive than his opponent.

It will be Medvedev's third Grand Slam semi-final but his first down under - he made the final and semi-finals of the US Open in 2019 and 2020. Tsitsipas will also be playing his third Slam semi but he has the advantage of having made the last four at Melbourne Park before, in 2019, while he also made the semis of Roland Garros last year.

It's 15 years since Marcos Baghdatis finished runner-up to Roger Federer and Tsitsipas already looks like he will go on to achieve more in tennis than his Greek Cypriot friend.


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It will also be Tsitsipas's third Slam semi-final but he has the advantage of having made the last four at Melbourne Park before, in 2019
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