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Monday, 17 December, 2018

Aussie ace Kyrgios is lively alternative to Nadal in Beijing

Schwartzman looks a value bet for tilt at Tokyo title

Nick Kyrgios lit up the Laver Cup
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ATP China Open
Starts 4.30am Monday

Rafael Nadal is the star name at the ATP China Open but the Spanish legend looks short enough at 6-4 and it might be worth opposing him in Beijing.

Nadal captured his third US Open crown in New York recently but that was his first hard-court success for almost four years and it's likely that he has his sights set on peaking for next week's Masters 1000 event in Shanghai.

Nick Kyrgios is one of the most unpredictable players in the men's game but the big-serving Aussie firebrand looked fit and healthy in the Laver Cup, where he was devastated to lose in three sets to Roger Federer in the final match.

If Kyrgios brings his huge game to the Chinese capital then he could take advantage of a weak quarter where Pablo Carreno Busta is the highest-ranked player.

Alexander Zverev would be favourite to meet him in the semi-finals but the young German faces a tough section and would also have to overcome a losing head-to-head record against the Aussie.

Recommendation
N Kyrgios
1pt 7-1 bet365

ATP Japan Open
Starts 4.30am Monday

Tokyo's Japan Open looks a tricky puzzle. Marin Cilic heads the betting but six men are priced up at single-figure odds and value could be found at bigger prices.

Cilic, Milos Raonic and US Open finalist Kevin Anderson are all housed in the top half but the lower half of the draw looks wide open.

David Goffin made the final in Shenzhen and that may hinder his chances while Dominic Thiem looks to be suffering from a busy schedule which surely contributed to a surprise loss against Guido Pella last week.

Sam Querrey is a likely finalist from that section but Diego Schwartzman beat both Cilic and Lucas Pouille on the way to the quarter-finals of the US and the diminutive Argentinian, drawn against Donald Young in his opener, could represent each-way value.

Recommendation
D Schwartzman
1pt each-way 28-1 bet365


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It's likely that Rafa has his sights set on peaking for next week's Masters 1000 event in Shanghai
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