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Three key stats to help you find a winner at Southwell, Chepstow and Naas

'Everybody's judged on results and there's no hiding from them': Venetia Williams is enjoying another successful season after 27 years in the game
Venetia Williams: has a good strike-rate with horses having their first start since wind surgeryCredit: Edward Whitaker

There are three meetings on Sunday with Southwell, Chepstow and Naas hosting fixtures. Here are statistics from each track which could help your punting . . .


Southwell

Nottinghamshire trainer Roy Bowring has a 17 per cent strike-rate on the all-weather at Southwell in the last five years, and that improved to 29 per cent in the track's first year on Tapeta in 2022.

Bowring saddled 11 winners, two seconds, five thirds and three fourths from 38 runners at the track last year, posting a £1 level-stake profit of +39.68.

Jeans Maite (3.30), a four-time winner at Southwell, is his sole runner on Sunday. She contests the concluding sprint handicap and has excellent claims if returning to the form of her course-and-distance win on her penultimate start when she recorded a career-best Racing Post Rating of 80. She runs off an official mark of 71 on Sunday.

Chepstow

Venetia Williams has a 24 per cent strike-rate (14-57) with horses running for the first time after a wind operation since the data was made available in 2018.

Heva Rose (1.10) fits that criterion on her first start for 372 days in a wide-open 2m mares' handicap hurdle.

The six-year-old was a promising third on her debut for Williams in a novice hurdle at Lingfield in December 2021, but was pulled up on her only other start for the Herefordshire stable at Exeter just over a year ago. She could be of interest off a reduced mark of 104.

Naas

Liz Doyle has a 13 per cent strike-rate with bumper debutants but that improves to 33 per cent with such runners at Naas (2-6), where Cappucino (3.50) contests the finale.

Jack Hendrick's mount is likely to be a big price with Gordon Elliott, Henry de Bromhead and Dermot Weld also saddling runners, but he is worth a second look given Doyle's record and any market support should be noted.


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