'We've been saving her for this' - analysis and trainer quotes for competitive sprint final at Windsor

The culmination of a season of qualifiers at Windsor means there is plenty of course form wherever you look, but the key to success in this sprint final has been recent form.

Seven of the last eight winners posted their best Racing Post Rating of the season the time before – four in victory and three in defeat – with the only exception making their first start on turf that year after a spell on the all-weather.

Just four fit that particular bill: last-time-out winners Badri and Seraphim Angel, and Trefor and Inishfallen. Interestingly, they have landed the four highest stalls, which isn’t often the place to be at Windsor.

Badri was two lengths too good for Inishfallen over course and distance last time and has won off higher marks than 96, although a 6lb swing gives his old rival a fighting chance of reversing that form.

Trefor is likely a better option, given he looked sure to appreciate the return to this trip when third in a 5f handicap at Doncaster last time, although his mark of 94 looks high enough on this step up in class.

Therefore, it could be worth siding with three-year-old Seraphim Angel, who took her unbeaten record at this track to two when making all over this distance last month. Those wins comprise her best RPRs and her early pace will serve her well from the outside stall.

Amazonian Dream is 8lb lower than when beaten just a neck in this last year and would be a danger if bouncing back, while cheekpieces may have been to blame for a below-par run last time from Change Sings, who looks well treated on the pick of this season’s form.
Analysis by Harry Wilson

Going update

The going was described on Sunday as good to firm, good in places and clerk of the course Charlie Rees said: "It's going to be a warm, drying day tomorrow and we're putting 6mm of water on today."

What they say

Michael Herrington, trainer of Badri
He's a typical sprinter. They go through phases when their confidence is up and they feel a million dollars, and he's run like that the last three times. He went up 6lb for last time, which was quite a hike, and it's a competitive race, but he's won over course and distance and is in great form.

Steve Brown, assistant trainer of Indian Run
He was disappointing at York last time and needs to bounce back. We've put cheekpieces on, which he wore once over a mile with Eve Johnson Houghton, and we hope they have the desired effect.

Eve Johnson Houghton, trainer of Change Sings and Bishop's Crown
Change Sings has the obvious chance. He's got a good draw and been second there twice this year. He should run a big race. Bishop's Crown would prefer more juice in the ground, but it's a big pot, so we'll see how he gets on.

Rod Millman, trainer of Woolhampton and Amazonian Dream
They both had fantastic seasons last year and consequently have been poorly handicapped. Woolhampton hasn't had a good draw this season and stall one isn't great for a hold-up horse. He's possibly better at five furlongs, so we'll wait longer and come later. Amazonian Dream has lost a bit of confidence coming down the handicap but Oisin Murphy has won a few on her and I hope he can work his magic.

Tom Dascombe, trainer of Seraphim Angel
She won nicely there last time and we've pretty much been saving her for the final since. She's straightforward and the ground will be fine, so she must have a chance.
Reporting by David Carr

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