It's time to take on Shishkin - plus the day's best outsider and best multiple
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Japan produced one of the great World Cup shocks on Thursday to dump Germany out at the group stage and I fancy a couple of big equine reputations to take a similar battering on a belting Saturday.
Ahoy Senor is the first of those in the BoyleSports Many Clouds Chase (1.30) at Aintree.
This seven-year-old has been made a short-priced favourite by dint of his superb course form, courtesy of a Grade 1 win in April, as there was certainly nothing in his reappearance effort at Wetherby to merit such odds.
There are four other track winners in this field and the six runners are separated by just 4lb on official figures. It's trappy and the favourite is worth laying.
The race of the day is the Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (2.55) at Sandown and the market has this one all wrong as Greaneteen should be favourite over Shishkin.
Shishkin was pulled up in the Champion Chase when last seen and, while he ran to a Racing Post Rating of 181 when outstaying prolific Grade 1 winner Energumene in a gripping Clarence House in January, I'd be odds-against about us seeing him in that kind of form.
Greaneteen arrives with fewer risks attached. His last three runs at Sandown have yielded a hat-trick of Grade 1 successes by an aggregate of around 21 lengths. Expect another triumph at his favourite venue after a stunning effort off top weight in the Haldon Gold Cup last time.
The other Grade 1 race at the Esher track is the Close Brothers Henry VIII Novices’ Chase (1.45) and the turnout is disappointing. However, we might still witness potential greatness in the shape of Jonbon.
I won't get involved at short odds but a wager has presented itself as there is too much disparity in the prices of second favourite Boothill and third favourite Unexpected Party, who was the superior hurdler of the pair.
Unexpected Party traded at 1.4 in running on his chasing debut over 2m3f when eventually tiring behind subsequent easy Grade 2 winner McFabulous, who was race-fit. He can follow Jonbon home.
The big betting race of the day is the BoyleSports Becher Handicap Chase (2.05) and it is worth drumming up some support for Percussion each-way with up to seven places on offer.
It beggars belief Percussion is available at such a big price in relation to Gesskille, who disputes early favouritism.
Percussion has eight lengths to find with Gesskille on Grand Sefton running last time, but he reopposes off 7lb better terms and shapes like a dour stayer who will improve for an extra five furlongs.
An SP of 40-1 that day also suggests he should come on for the run and his trainer, Laura Morgan, is going places.
One favourite I will be supporting at Aintree is Riders Onthestorm in the BoyleSports Daily Money Back 2nd Handicap Chase (2.40).
Riders Onthestorm landed the Grade 2 Old Roan over course and distance on his return from 3lb out of the weights last time and looks rock-solid off 2lb higher.
Hitman and Ga Law have advertised that form with big-race triumphs since and Riders Onthestorm remains well treated off 6lb lower than when runner-up in this last season.
Best bet Greaneteen (2.55 Sandown)
Best outsider Percussion (2.05 Aintree)
Best multiple Double on Riders Onthestorm (2.40 Aintree) and Greaneteen (2.55 Sandown)
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