Who will benefit from Epsom's deluge in the Derby - and who won't?

Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources or find out more here
The rain has been persistent throughout the week at Epsom, with the Derby course going easing to good to soft on Saturday and rain continuing to fall.
Which horses could be suited by the juice in the ground, and whose chances may be hindered? We've taken a look.
Those who will love it
The major Betfred Derby contender who will thrive with some ease in the ground is Pierre Bonnard, given he has already shown his brilliance in testing conditions.
He may have been beaten in his two starts this year, including narrowly in the Leopardstown Derby Trial last time, but he'll be the only Group 1 winner in the line-up.
That came on ground officially described as very soft in last season's Criterium de Saint-Cloud, when he was a two-length winner. He recorded a career-best Racing Post Rating of 110 that day.

Two of his Aidan O'Brien-trained stablemates, Action and Christmas Day, would not mind some give in the ground.
Action was beaten only half a length in the Futurity Trophy on heavy ground, while Christmas Day's three wins, including two at Group 3 level, have come on heavy, yielding and good to yielding.
Outside of the Ballydoyle contenders, the rain could suit James J Braddock. The Leopardstown Derby Trial winner won his maiden by six lengths on heavy ground.
Among the British contingent, narrow Lingfield Derby Trial runner-up Bay Of Brilliance broke his maiden on soft ground at Goodwood in September, before bolting up at Redcar on good to soft a month later.
Ante-Post Pricewise special offer: Get 20% off a full year of Racing Post+ Ultimate

Royal Ascot is almost upon us and what better way to prepare for the biggest race in the calendar than with the unrivalled insight offered by 'Pricewise' Tom Segal. Our top tipster is tackling the great summer festival in even more depth this year in an expanded Ante-Post Pricewise series. All his tips are exclusively available to Racing Post+ UItimate and Racing Post+ Tipping subscribers. Pick the package that best suits your needs and sign up now using the code ASCOTPW20 to get 20% off either package for a full year. Offer ends Tuesday 30th June 2026. New customers only. After the promotional period ends you will roll on to our standard pricing. No contract, no commitment, cancel any time.
Those who may not want rain
Any further rain could cast some doubt around O'Brien's main Derby hope Benvenuto Cellini.
The 7-4 favourite may have won his Killarney maiden on ground described as yielding to soft, but he floundered when a well-held third in the Futurity Trophy on heavy at Doncaster in October.
O'Brien said after that run: "Christophe [Soumillon, jockey] said he got stuck in the ground. He's a very good mover."
His fine Chester Vase victory came on ground described as good, but it was quickening all the time at Chester that day.

Britain's main hope, Maltese Cross, finished a narrow second on his debut on soft ground, but has taken his form to a new level on quicker. His Lingfield Derby Trial win on good to firm earned him a career-best RPR of 110.
The Derby unknowns
The changing conditions could pose a new question for impressive Dante Stakes winner Item.
Juddmonte's homebred won well at York on good ground, while last season's Bath novice win came on good to firm. His other outing came on the all-weather, so anything softer than good would represent uncharted territory.

Newmarket Stakes winner Ancient Egypt has tackled nothing other than quick ground. His four starts and three wins have come on good to firm.
£40 in Free Bets When You Place A £5 Bet
- Request custom bets on Twitter with #WhatOddsPaddy
Read more:

Available exclusively to subscribers to Racing Post+ Ultimate, The Edge is a daily product designed to speed up the form study process without replacing your judgement. It distills Racing Post’s unrivalled data, insight and expertise into a single, focused briefing – so you can get to the decisions that matter, faster. New customers can sign up to Racing Post+ Ultimate here, while existing subscribers will need to opt-in to receive The Edge here.
Important information: This article may contain links to offers or promotions that were available at the time of publication. These offers may have since expired or changed.
Offers are handpicked and come from operators that our experts have first-hand experience of. Opening an account via one of these links will earn revenue for the Racing Post, which will be used to continue producing our award-winning coverage of horseracing.
Published on inDerby festival
Last updated
Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources or find out more here
- 'The trainer of my banker has caught my eye' - Johnny and DJ share their Royal Ascot Lucky 15s, weekend wagers and wade in on the Derby
- My first ever Derby day - when not even Epsom's big-screen problem could hide the bigger picture
- Navan keen on introducing bonus after majestic Thundering On proves Salsabil Stakes is ultimate Oaks trial
- Ranked: which Derby winners were rated worse than Christmas Day?
- Christmas Day rated one of the worst Derby winners in recent years
- Royal Ascot 2026 betting offers and free bets: get up to £700
- Scotland vs Haiti: get 50-1 for a goal to be scored with Sky Bet
- Brazil vs Morocco: get 50-1 for a goal to be scored plus a £5 England bet builder with Betfair
- Paddy Power betting offer: get 50-1 odds on Tommy Fury to beat Eddie Hall
- World Cup odds boost: Get 50-1 on Scotland to beat Haiti with Paddy Power
- 'The trainer of my banker has caught my eye' - Johnny and DJ share their Royal Ascot Lucky 15s, weekend wagers and wade in on the Derby
- My first ever Derby day - when not even Epsom's big-screen problem could hide the bigger picture
- Navan keen on introducing bonus after majestic Thundering On proves Salsabil Stakes is ultimate Oaks trial
- Ranked: which Derby winners were rated worse than Christmas Day?
- Christmas Day rated one of the worst Derby winners in recent years
- Royal Ascot 2026 betting offers and free bets: get up to £700
- Scotland vs Haiti: get 50-1 for a goal to be scored with Sky Bet
- Brazil vs Morocco: get 50-1 for a goal to be scored plus a £5 England bet builder with Betfair
- Paddy Power betting offer: get 50-1 odds on Tommy Fury to beat Eddie Hall
- World Cup odds boost: Get 50-1 on Scotland to beat Haiti with Paddy Power