Enable an Arc certainty? Why it's not cut and dried

Star fillies and mares are about to grab the headlines. The betting expects fillies Enable and Sea Of Class to dominate Sunday’s Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, and in the coming days Newmarket stages two mile Group 1s restricted to females; the Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes on Saturday and the bet365 Fillies’ Mile next Friday.

So now seems the appropriate time to serve up a bunch of betting angles relating to fillies and mares in Flat races.

Grow profits from penalised fillies and mares in spring Flat handicaps
When is an in-form filly worth following? You often hear that female horses appreciate sun on their backs, and it’s hard to think of a more in-form horse than one who is turned out quickly in a Flat handicap under a penalty, so I thought I would compare the success of penalised runners in these raced by gender and calendar month.