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Wednesday, 21 November, 2018

All you need to know about the Beverley Bullet as Take Cover bids for follow-up

Take Cover is back to defend his Beverley Bullet crown
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2.45 Beverley
William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) | 5f | 3yo+ | RUK/ITV4

Take Cover led from start to finish to win last year's running of the Beverley Bullet. Can he do it again?

In his favour is the fact he won by a length last year – carrying a 3lb penalty which he doesn't this time around – from Final Venture, who is adjudged the main danger this time by bookmakers.

He also comes into the race on the back of a sixth-placed effort in the Nunthorpe, when he was beaten just over four lengths and ran to a Racing Post Rating of 102, which is better than the last of 11 (beaten ten and a half lengths, RPR of 87) he managed in last year's running of the York Group 1 before victory here.

As for the negatives, well he's a year older and now 11, drawn in the less-than-ideal stall nine – he won from stall two – and remains on the same terms as Final Venture, who also does not have to carry a penalty this time.

Last year's Beverley Bullet result

How big a factor is the draw?

Nine of the last ten runnings of this race have gone to a horse drawn four or lower, although bizarrely not a single winner has come from stall three in that time.

The only exception was 2011 winner Tangerine Trees, who made all up the stands' rail from stall nine – and he went on to win the Prix de l'Abbaye on his next start.

None of the first four stalls in this year's contest are occupied by runners at single-figure prices, with bookmakers giving Mythmaker (stall one) and Mirza (four) the best chance of continuing the trend.

But given seven of the nine to win from low stalls were 8-1 or shorter, perhaps the draw bias is vulnerable?

What they say

Richard Fahey, trainer of Mr Lupton
He couldn't get into the Nunthorpe – he never had a go at them – but he's been in good form since and we're happy with him. It's not the best of draws but we'll have a go.

Paul Midgley, trainer of Final Venture, Line Of Reason and Tanasoq
Final Venture's probably got the strongest chance, he was brilliant at York – it was disappointing he got beaten but there were no excuses, he just bumped into a better one on the day. He's come out of it well and shouldn't be far away. If Tanasoq had been drawn in one, rather than 11, I'd have quietly fancied him, but he loves fast ground and I think there's some speed in nine so maybe he can do it. I think everything might have to fall perfectly for him to have a chance from there, but he's been excellent all year. This is the fifth time Line Of Reason will run in the race and he's hard as nails, loves fast ground and Beverley. He's not had the rub of the green in a few of his races and while strictly speaking he has a bit to do at the weights it wouldn't surprise me were he to pop up.

Tanasoq (James Sullivan) is a clear-cut winner of the Investec Corporate Banking 'Dash' at Epsom on Derby Day

Roy Bowring, trainer of Foolaad
Handicap-wise we've got no chance and the draw's no good, but we think the track will suit him and if the first-time cheekpieces work, he might have a bit of a chance.

Rae Guest, trainer of Mirza
He's in great form for an 11-year-old, as he showed when running a great race in the Charge at Sandown. He has a good draw so if he gets nice, fast ground he should run a good race.

Bryan Smart, trainer of Mythmaker
I'm very happy with him. He drops back to five, but always shows plenty of speed in his races over six, he's got a good draw and there's plenty of pace in there.

David Griffiths, trainer of Take Cover
He ran a nice race at Goodwood behind Battaash and ran well again in the Nunthorpe, when I'd perhaps blame the ground a little as it was quite loose. He's come out of that well and is in good form, the draw's not ideal but the Bullet is a nice race to win. It's worth a good bit of money and he doesn't have to carry a Group penalty, so we'll go here and then decide about Irish Champions Weekend. 

Kevin Ryan, trainer of Elnadim Star
She's in good form, has course form and is an improving filly.

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He ran a nice race at Goodwood behind Battaash and ran well again in the Nunthorpe when I'd perhaps blame the ground a little
E.W. Terms
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