US racing tips: Tom Collins has three fancies in the Graded races at Keeneland

Guarana
8.18 Keeneland
3pts winJolie Olimpica
9.57 Keeneland
2pts winArt Collector
10.30 Keeneland
1pt winKeeneland's five-day summer meet ends this weekend and in true US fashion, the Kentucky track is going out on a high with three Grade 1 contests and a couple of Grade 2s on a glittering Saturday card.

Although it does not have top level status, the Grade 2 $600,000 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (10.30) is the feature race and 13 three-year-olds are set to go to post to try and win the coveted first prize.

There appears to be plenty of pace on offer with the likes of Shivaree, Basin, Swiss Skydiver and Rushie all likely to be on the speed, so it looks wise to play a stalker or closer should the pace partially collapse in the straight.

Tiesto is interesting on dirt debut, but his wide draw puts me off. Therefore, I will stick with the hat-trick-seeking Art Collector for trainer Tom Drury.

This son of Bernardini disappointed on his sole start at this track in the Grade 3 Bourbon Stakes last year, but he was very immature and unfurnished juvenile and seems to have improved a great deal this campaign.

He couldn't have been any more impressive when bolting up on his return from six months off in an allowance optional claimer at Churchill Downs in May, and backed that up with a decisive success at the same track last month. From a good draw in gate three, he can pounce late and continue on his upward curve.

The first Grade 1 on the card is the $250,000 Madison Stakes (8.18), and much like in the Blue Grass, a solid pace should develop with the poorly-drawn duo Amy's Challenge and Mia Mischief set to go forward.

They have plenty of speed and ability, but they have both crumbled when put into speed duels in the past and we could witness a similar story here, paving the way for Chad Brown's super filly Guarana to win by a wide margin.

This four-year-old has only been beaten once, which came in the Cotillion Stakes at Parx last year when she was sent around two turns for the first time.

Her reappearance victory was as good as you could have asked for and Brown will have her primed for this race. She has the speed to get into a prominent sit.

The Grade 1 $350,000 Coolmore Jenny Wiley Stakes (9.57) looks a match between Brown's Rushing Fall, who is forecast to go off favourite on the morning line, and Richard Mandella's Jolie Olimpica.

Although the former is one of the best mares in the country, she may struggle to get by the former Brazilian champion, who has won two of her three starts in the US, the latest of which came when holding off subsequent scorer Oleksandra in the Monrovia Stakes at Santa Anita.

Set to be ridden by Mike Smith, Jolie Olimpica should have an easy time making the lead and the veteran rider, who is at his best on front-runners, will try to steady the pace. Her finishing kick may be too strong for her opposition and she can cling on.

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