US expert Tom Collins has a pair of confident selections to end the Tampa card

Natoma
7.00 Tampa Bay Downs
1pt winBlame The Cake
8.30 Tampa Bay Downs
3pts win

Summer Assault
9.00 Tampa Bay Downs
2pts winAustralian-born trainer Ian Wilkes, who is now based in Kentucky, is set to make the 12-hour trip south to Tampa Bay Downs and appears to have two fantastic chances of entering the winner's enclosure.

The first is with Natoma, who bids to get off the mark at the sixth attempt in the $13,500 maiden claimer (7.00) under Samy Camacho.

The star jockey rode this filly in a similar contest at the end of last month, where she finished a good second behind the talented and unexposed Volador, and decides to stick with her.

This race looks to have more strength and depth with Gesture and Foxglove in the line-up, both of whom are unexposed horses who hail from top barns, but Natoma is experienced and she can put that to good use.

A daughter of Fort Larned, who Wilkes trained to win the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Classic in 2012, out of Magic Hour, also trained by Wilkes to win four races, Natoma stays this mile trip well and although Gesture's works are far better than hers, he hasn't quite put it together on the track yet and is worth opposing at the likely prices.

Wilkes's best chance, though, comes an hour and a half later when the Camacho-ridden Blame The Cake bids to make it third-time lucky in the $20,000 maiden special weight (8.30) contest.

A daughter of three-time Grade 1-winner Blame, who famously beat Zenyatta in a thrilling finish to the 2010 Breeders' Cup Classic, Blame The Cake made a great start to her racing career when second to a subsequent black type winner at Saratoga last summer.

She made a big move around the homebend and hit the front in the style of a very useful prospect, before being worn down late by Bank On Shea.

She didn't quite match that performance on her second outing a month later, but was brushed at the gate and didn't enjoy the best of trips. The form of that race has worked out well, though, as the third and fifth have both scored twice since.

Blame The Cake hasn't been seen since but will have progressed physically and mentally over the winter and takes a big drop from $78,000 New York maiden special weight contests into this $20,000 race.

Creed, a $650,000 daughter of Honor Code trained by Shug McGaughey appears to be the only danger, but she will need to be very good to deny Blame The Cake on debut.

I'm similarly confident about Summer Assault in the closing $20,000 allowance optional claimer (9.00) for trainer Michele Boyce.

His pedigree screams a mile plus (by Summer Front out of an Include mare), but Summer Assault showed an abundance of early speed on debut at this track in January, beating speedball My Eclair (won since) by two and a half lengths over the minimum trip.

He hasn't won either of his last two outings, but finished second in allowance company over a mile on his next start before taking third in the Listed Columbia Stakes in March – form which looks very good in the context of this race.

Summer Assault has been off the track for nearly two months but has a fitness edge over most of his rivals and should relish the drop back in allowance grade.

However, the biggest plus is the fact that he drops back to 5f. Angel Suarez will have to get him out early from gate eight, but he has been putting in rapid works recently and that shouldn't be a problem.

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