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Horse racing tips

Thyme Hill looks a solid buy in match against great stayer Paisley Park

Thyme Hill
3.35 Aintree
Buy in a match bet with Paisley Park at 2

Paisley Park has been a great stayer over the last few years but he looks ideally suited by a stiff test of stamina and I’m not convinced he will find Aintree’s sharp track optimal.

Furthermore, the nine-year-old has looked at his best with some cut in the ground recently and the drying conditions might just turn the tables in favour of the speedier Thyme Hill.

There isn’t much between the two on form. Thyme Hill beat Paisley Park by a neck when getting 3lb at Newbury on his reappearance in November and looked unlucky not to confirm the form on level weights in the Long Walk at Ascot, when he was caught on the line.

Thyme Hill is the younger, more progressive of the two and Paisley Park is probably going the other way. It’s worth taking Thyme Hill to beat him by more than the two lengths needed.

3.35 Aintree

Sporting (50-30-20-10) 22-25 Thyme Hill, 16-19 Paisley Park, 12-15 Roksana, 9-12 Lisnagar Oscar, 5-7 Third Wind, 4-6 Diol Ker, If The Cap Fits, Thomas Darby, Vinndication, 3-5 On The Blind Side, Indefatigable, 2-4 Call Me Lord, Emitom, William Henry, 1-3 Decor Irlandais.

Match bet 0.5-2 Thyme Hill/Paisley Park.

5.15 Aintree

Sporting (100-75-50-30-20-10-5) 26-29 Cloth Cap, 17-20 Burrows Saint, Minella Times, 15-18 Any Second Now, 13-16 Kimberlite Candy, 12-15 Farclas, 11-14 Discorama, 9-12 Magic Of Light, 8-11 Bristol De Mai, Anibale Fly, Mister Malarkey, Class Conti, Milan Native, 7-9 Acapella Bourgeois, Takingrisks, Lord Du Mesnil, 6-8 Yala Enki, 4-6 Chris’s Dream, Lake View Lad, Talkischeap, Potters Corner, Canelo, 3-5 Definitly Red, Alpha Des Obeaux, Shattered Love, Vieux Lion Rouge, The Long Mile, Give Me A Copper, Sub Lieutenant, Hogan’s Height, 2-4 Ballyoptic, Tout Est Permis, Balko Des Flos, Ok Corral, Jett, Cabaret Queen, Minellacelebration, Double Shuffle, Ami Desbois, Blaklion.

Match bets

3-4.5 Cloth Cap/Minella Times.
0.75ch Burrows Saint/Any Second Now.
1-2.5 Kimberlite Candy/Farclas.

Specials 17-18 total finishers, 4.5-5.5 winning distance, 5-6 distance 2-3, 9.75-11.25 distance 1-3, 125-135 distance first-to-last, 22.5-23.5 winning sp, 545-555 winning time (seconds), 90-95 winner’s age x 10, 48-53 days since winner last ran.


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Deputy betting editor

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