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The statistics show National Hunt Chase can go the way of last-time-out winner

Credit: Edward Whitaker

Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle

1.30 Cheltenham

Key trends

  • Adjusted RPR of at least 150, nine winners in last ten runnings
  • Ran within the last 59 days, 9/10
  • Previously contested a Graded race, 9/10 (eight won)
  • Won last time out, 8/10
  • Rated within 8lb of RPR top-rated, 8/10 (only two were top -rated)
  • Won at least 50 per cent of hurdle starts, 7/10

Other factors

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