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Horse racing tips

Owen's Outsiders: 33-1 and 11-1 tips for Saturday's big handicaps on ITV4

2.40 Kempton
1pt each-way at 33-1

This might be the perfect time to catch the Gary Moore-trained Fifty Ball, who ended last season with a comfortable win at Ascot over today's 2m5f trip.

That was his first try of the distance and he saw it out strongly, suggesting he has plenty more to offer as a stayer. He has been absent since March, but his form figures after breaks of 50 days or more since joining Moore read 3230.

His record on soft or heavy ground reads 212, so the testing conditions will not be a barrier either. Niall Houlihan is thriving and his 3lb claim can help this eight-year-old to success.

Iwilldoit
3.00 Warwick
1pt each-way at 11-1

He is a bit shorter than I would usually tip, but Iwilldoit should not be an 11-1 shot and deserves far more respect for Sam Thomas.

The ten-year-old has been absent since winning the 2021 Welsh Grand National, which is where the trepidation likely lies. That should not be the case, however, as he won off a 226-day break that season.

Given the heavy conditions, you need a guaranteed stayer, and Iwilldoit fits the bill perfectly. He remains on a good mark based on that Welsh Grand National demolition and he is unexposed as a marathon stayer. With all that in mind, he will surely be in the hunt as they turn for home.


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