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Key stats to help you find the winner of the Melbourne Cup

Kevin Morley analyses the data

2011 Melbourne Cup hero Dunaden also won the Geelong Cup
2011 Melbourne Cup hero Dunaden also won the Geelong CupCredit: Mark Dadswell

Lexus Melbourne Cup
4am Flemington, November 6

Key trends

  • Winner of a Group or Graded race, ten winners in last ten runnings (two were Group/Grade 1 winners)
  • Had won over at least 1m4f, 10/10 (two had won over 2m)
  • Carried no more than 8st 9lb, 9/10
  • Top-four finish last time out, 8/10 (four won)
  • Aged four or five, 7/10 (based on northern hemisphere ages)
  • Highest previous RPR between 114 and 123, 7/10
  • Drawn between four and 13, 7/10
  • Bred outside Australia and New Zealand, 7/10
  • Had run in a recognised trial (Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate, Mackinnon Stakes, Geelong Cup, Turnbull Stakes), 5/10

Other factors

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