'He is being vastly underestimated' - why this horse can win the King George VI Chase at Kempton
The Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (2.30, December 26) is shaping up to be a deep and fascinating contest as a slew of Grade 1 winners prepare to descend on Kempton on Boxing Day. Will Bravemansgame defend his crown or can Irish challengers Allaho and Gerri Colombe spoil his party? Can Shishkin bounce back after refusing to race at Ascot? Will Royale Pagaille back up his Betfair Chase heroics? Some of our tipsters and reporters attempt to break down a wide-open race . . .
Bravemansgame
Best odds: 5-2
By James Hill, tipster
Of the front three in the market I’m with Bravemansgame. I see there’s been a bit of money for Allaho, but he looked properly rusty on his reappearance at Clonmel, and his success at Punchestown last year is starting to feel an awfully long time ago.
Kempton’s all about jumping and that’s where Bravemansgame scores high and why Paul Nicholls is the best in this race – his chasers all jump so well.
I’m going to take Bravemansgame to leave this season’s form behind and win the race again. Maybe have a saver on Royale Pagaille, who’s clearly where the value lies. He ran well when second in the race last year but will probably need it to rain and rain some more.
Shishkin
Best odds: 11-2
By Richard Birch
There are question marks against the names of nearly all the runners towards the top of the King George market. Arguably the biggest one of all is next to Shishkin, who dug his heels in and refused to race at Ascot last month.
You couldn’t rule out the possibility of him doing so again, but it’s not as if he’s the 2-1 favourite and I’d rather back him than either of the shorter-priced duo Allaho and Bravemansgame.
Nobody can dispute an on-song Shishkin is a champion, and this race has been his main target from day one of the 2023-24 season. Three miles round Kempton looks ideal at this stage of his career.
By Harry Wilson
Shishkin is being vastly underestimated here, largely down to the fact he refused to race when tried in cheekpieces in the 1965 Chase at Ascot last month, but he’s very capable of running a big race after a layoff (he’s won off 258- and 261-day breaks at Kempton before).
He would have won three Grade 1s last season but for a bad mistake in the Ryanair Chase, and the form of his 16-length Ascot Chase romp was firmly franked when the second and third filled the first two places in the Marsh Chase at Aintree. He’s 4-4 at the track, still has untapped potential as a stayer, and has the perfect blend of speed and stamina needed to meet the demands of the King George.
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The Real Whacker
Best odds: 8-1
By Maddy Playle
He's something of a forgotten horse because he was pulled up on his seasonal reappearance in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, but The Real Whacker was injured on that occasion and deserves to be forgiven.
His defeat of Gerri Colombe and I Am Maximus in the Brown Advisory in March now reads exceptionally well and his bold-jumping, front-running style should serve him especially well in this race, which is often won by similar types.
Royale Pagaille
Best odds: 10-1
By Sam Hendry
Many of the market principals have questions to answer. Bravemansgame has looked sluggish in his two starts this season, Allaho still has to prove he retains his ability after missing a lengthy spell out injured, Gerri Colombe is no longer travelling and Shishkin's travails in the build-up have been well documented. Will he even start?
The most reliable option to me – particularly at the prices – looks to be Betfair Chase winner Royale Pagaille. The average Racing Post Rating of the King George winner in the last decade is 174.4. Royale Pagaille ran to a career-best 174 at Haydock so doesn't have much more to find.
He has to prove he can peak away from his beloved Haydock but if he can confirm form with Bravemansgame that may be enough.
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Betfair betting sign-up offer: terms and conditions
It's worth taking a few minutes to read through the terms and conditions associated with the new player promotion before signing up. Doing so will help you get a better grasp of the details of the King George betting offer and what's expected of you as a new player.
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- T&Cs apply
- Please gamble responsibly
Read these next:
2023 King George VI Chase at Kempton: assessing the top contenders for the big race on Boxing Day
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