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Vorda (Olivier Peslier) Newmarket 28.9.13

Newmarket: going eased overnight to good to soft, good in places

  PICTURE: Edward Whitaker (racingpost.com/photos)  

Five-way fight for Cesarewitch favouritism

NOMINATING the horse that will go off favourite for the Betfred Cesarewitch looks a tricky proposition as no fewer than five contenders are battling it out at the top of the betting for the second leg of the autumn double at Newmarket.

William Hill and Ladbrokes go 8-1 co-favourites of three Pallasator, Tiger Cliff and Smoky Hill, while Domination and Oriental Fox are single-figure prices with some firms. The sponsors have Pallasator and Tiger Cliff as 8-1 joint-favourites with Smoky Hill, Domination and Oriental Fox next best at 10-1.

The level of support for Pricewise pick Tiger Cliff could increase following the confidence displayed by his owner Henry Ponsonby, who is also represented by Lieutenant Miller in the day’s big betting heat, on The Morning Line.

Speaking about the Ebor winner, who has been raised 6lb for his York success, Ponsonby said: “I know Lieutenant Miller is better off but there is more improvement to come from Tiger Cliff and he’ll appreciate the rain.”

Betfred spokesman Andrew Griffiths said: “Tiger Cliff is far and away the best backed horse in the market, but there's also plenty of each-way money for Oriental Fox and Smoky Hill as punters can't see the pair being out of the first five.”

The going was eased overnight to good to soft, good in places (from good) following 3.5mm of rain.

Going report

Chepstow: Good
Hexham: Good
Newmarket: Good to soft, good in places
York: Good, good to soft in places
Fairyhouse: Good, good to firm in places
Wolverhampton: Standard

Key stats

Six out of the last ten winners of the Middle Park Stakes had won their last two starts and all had run four times of fewer in total. Astaire ticks those boxes and the Gimcrack winner should give his supporters a big run for their money.

If you have a bet in the Cesarewitch it make sense to go with a low-drawn horse - in the last ten years, horses drawn in stall 12 or lower are 7-115, while those drawn 13 or higher are 3-216.

David Pipe is 6-14 in novice hurdle races at Chepstow in the last three seasons (+£13.08 to £1 stakes.) Jigsaw Puzzle, who was previously trained by Warren Greatrex, makes his debut for the stable at 3.00.

Pointers courtesy of Raceform Interactive

 
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