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Todays racing teaser pic

Fattsota has good chance in weak race says Bradley

6.00 Kempton

£500 Free Bets At Betdaq Wild Flower Stakes (Listed) | 1m4f, 3yo+ | RUK

BANOFFEE tries to re-establish some of the excitement that surrounded her when she was sent off 7-1 fourth favourite for the Oaks in May.

Hughie Morrison's daughter of Hurricane Run failed to act around the Downs, but both that performance and another blip in Goodwood's Nassau Stakes were at least partly banished when Banoffee came from some way back to be a fast-finishing fourth behind Speckled at Lingfield last time out.

Livia's Dream finished second in the same contest, having enjoyed the run of the race, but trainer Ed Walker maintains there was no fluke about the result.

Two starts ago Fattsota finished a fair sixth behind Cirrus Des Aigles in the Group 2 Prix Dollar, a piece of form that stands out in a field where all have claims of winning at this level.

Jeanie Johnston, who travels from Paul Harley's base in Sassenburg, Germany, has been campaigned largely across the Rhine at the all-weather venues of Chantilly and Deauville.

High weights
Both Dick Doughtywylie and Fattsota must concede weight all round. In six previous runnings Dansant and Media Hype successfully defied the combined handicaps of sex and age allowances. The spoils are split evenly between three-year-olds and their elders.

Course form
Livia's Dream is the only member of the seven-runner line-up to have won around Kempton. Aussie Reigns finished a distant third in a hot Listed race here at the beginning of the month.

What they say
Nick Bradley, spokesman for Middleham Park Racing, owners of Fattsota
"Longchamp was arguably a career best and he was going as well as anything bar Cirrus Des Aigles turning in. He probably wants a bit further, so a mile and a half should suit, and he showed form on the all-weather at Meydan. It looks a weak race and we think he goes there with a good chance."

Paul Harley, trainer of Jeanie Johnston
"Because of the soft ground in Germany she's been running mostly in France, except for her last start, which was in a €20,000 handicap. I used that as a stepping stone and the ground was much quicker than published. She has won at Chantilly, which is a very similar surface, and I'm hopeful she can get some black type."

Ed Walker, trainer of Livia's Dream
"It was no surprise last time because we've always believed she was up to getting some black type. She's been a slow developer. She came out of that race extremely well and, if she settles a bit better, she can go close again."

William Knight, trainer of Aussie Reigns and Modernstone
"Aussie Reigns ran well last time in what looked a strong race for the grade. This looks slightly weaker and, if he can reproduce that form, he has a chance. It was a good run from Modernstone at Lingfield and she was still lightly raced going into that, so she would have learned a lot. I'm pretty sure the step up to a mile and a half will be fine. You couldn't rule her out."

Hughie Morrison, trainer of Banoffee
"She's very well and she showed some form last time in a race that wasn't run to suit her. She was unlucky but nevertheless I was delighted with her run there and with the way she's been going since."

Going
Kempton
standard
Lingfield standard
Dundalk standard
Wetherby good to soft
Fontwell good to soft, soft in places

Today's key pointers

The sire Cape Cross has a 33 per cent strike-rate with his two-year-old runners at Lingfield since the start of 2007 (18 winners from 55 runners for a profit of £56.91 to a £1 stake). Jalingo represents him in the mile maiden at 12.30.

Philip Hobbs is 10/31 in non-handicap hurdle races at Fontwell since the start of 2005 (strike-rate 32 per cent, +£8.70 to a £1 stake). Cloud Creeper goes for him in the 2m4f novices hurdle at 1.10.

Pointers courtesy of Raceform Interactive

 
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